Live market summary
Flávio Bolsonaro is favored at 84% as of 6 Sep 2026, 01:04 UTC across 5 markets.
- Flávio Bolsonaro: 84% (24h change 0%)
- Romeu Zema: 13% (24h change 0%)
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 8% (24h change -3%)
- Renan Santos: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Augusto Cury: 1% (24h change 0%)
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Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
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How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place?
Flávio Bolsonaro is favored at 84% as of 6 Sep 2026, 01:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place?
Flávio Bolsonaro: 84%; Romeu Zema: 13%; Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 8%; Renan Santos: 2%; Augusto Cury: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.