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Powered by KalshiNavajo Nation presidential election winner?·Buu Nygren·6%(-87%)Who will be the next CDU/CSU parliamentary leader?·Thorsten Frei·89%(+73%)AZ-05 Republican primary margin of victory?·Mark Lamb, 15-20%·89%(+66%)How many new countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2028?·At least 1·65%(+58%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary: Darline Graham vote percent (1st Round)·At least 60%·4%(-57%)When will Trump's Labor Secretary pick be confirmed?·Before Aug 1, 2026·66%(+53%)Texas's 23rd District margin of victory·Republicans, 17+ pts·2.1%(-50.9%)Will the House vote to ban members of Congress from trading stocks?·Before 2027·99%(+45%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/17-7/24)?·Above 5.2%·85%(+44%)Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?·Rand Paul·13%(-44%)Next French presidential election winner?·François Hollande·9%(-42%)Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)·July 26·19%(-40%)Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?·Together·57%(-40%)Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?·Lisa Murkowski·70%(+39%)Who will win the next Zambian presidential election?·Hakainde Hichilema·93%(+38%)
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Summary

Flávio Bolsonaro is favored at 74% as of 23 Jul 2026, 00:03 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Flávio Bolsonaro: 74% (24h change -13%)
  • Renan Santos: 15% (24h change +1%)
  • Romeu Zema: 13% (24h change 0%)
  • Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 6% (24h change 0%)
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