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Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Dan Bilzerian, 5-10%·98%(+97%)Alaska House winner?·Bill Hill·10%(-84%)Alaska Governor primary: who will advance?·Lesil McGuire·3%(-73%)Alaska Senate primary: Dan J. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)·At least 1%·85%(+73%)FL-20 Republican nominee?·Rod Joseph·21%(-63%)MI-04 House winner?·Sean McCann·43%(-50%)WY-AL Republican nominee?·Kevin Christensen·4%(-47%)FL-25 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Jared Moskowitz, ≥15%·36%(-41%)Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO?·Mette Frederiksen·11%(-36%)How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?·5·79%(+35%)Zambian presidential election winner?·Brian Mundubile·2%(-35%)FL-06 Republican primary: Dan Bilzerian vote percent·At least 7.5%·47%(-33%)Number of White House Press Briefings in Aug 2026?·At least 2·24%(-32%)FL-23 Democratic primary: Lois Frankel vote percent·At least 80%·20%(-31%)New Mexico Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 15+ pts·67%(+30%)
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Summary

Above 0 is favored at 68% as of 16 Aug 2026, 21:33 UTC across 3 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Above 0: 68% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 1: 41% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 2: 18% (24h change 0%)
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