ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiSouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout·Above 350k·99%(+88%)GA-13 special election winner?·Everton Blair Jr.·98%(+87%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?·Darline Graham, 3-6%·99%(+82%)How many states will redistrict before the midterms?·Below 8·79%(+73%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 45·14%(-72%)Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?·Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure before Nov 11, 2026?·87%(+72%)Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?·Before Jan 1, 2027·92%(+65%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Darline Graham vote percent·At least 52%·99%(+62%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Ralph Norman vote percent·At least 49%·1%(-62%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 25, 2026·76%(+58%)MI-10 House winner?·Michael Bouchard Jr.·10%(-55%)When will AP call the South Carolina Senate runoff?·Before 8:30PM Aug 25·1%(-55%)Which Alaska candidates will drop out in Aug 2026?·David B. Leslie·17%(-54%)South Carolina Senate special election runoff margin of victory? (Directional)·Darline Graham, ≥3%·99%(+50%)Spanish general election winner?·Spanish Socialist Workers' Party·17%(-50%)
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Summary

Donald Trump is favored at 47% as of 26 Aug 2026, 17:04 UTC across 18 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Donald Trump: 47% (24h change +1%)
  • Bill Clinton: 44% (24h change 0%)
  • Prince Andrew: 39% (24h change 0%)
  • Bill Gates: 35% (24h change +6%)
  • Woody Allen: 32% (24h change 0%)
  • Hillary Clinton: 31% (24h change +1%)
  • Stephen Hawking: 28% (24h change 0%)
  • Joe Biden: 24% (24h change 0%)
  • Alec Baldwin: 24% (24h change 0%)
  • Ehud Barak: 23% (24h change 0%)
  • Kevin Spacey: 21% (24h change 0%)
  • Barack Obama: 20% (24h change 0%)
  • Leonardo DiCaprio: 17% (24h change 0%)
  • Rupert Murdoch: 17% (24h change 0%)
  • Michael Jackson: 16% (24h change 0%)
  • Naomi Campbell: 16% (24h change 0%)
  • Sean Combs: 9.8% (24h change 0%)
  • Kamala Harris: 7.5% (24h change -1%)
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