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Powered by KalshiWhen will records from Fauci’s phone be released?·Before Aug 15, 2026·99%(+90%)Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?·New York·4%(-78%)West Virginia Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 30+ pts·1%(-77%)Iowa's 4th District margin of victory·Republicans, 12+ pts·7%(-71%)Tennessee's 5th District margin of victory·Republicans, 5+ pts·3.3%(-68.7%)WA-05 primary: who will advance?·Carmela Conroy·98%(+68%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/10 - 8/16)·Above 225·77%(+66%)Georgia's 9th District margin of victory·Republicans, 25+ pts·1%(-64%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?·Zohran Mamdani·69%(+61%)Who will be the next Senate Judiciary chair?·Sheldon Whitehouse·91%(+56%)Ken Martin out as DNC chair?·Before Sep 1, 2026·14%(-55%)Florida's 20th District margin of victory·Democrats, 43+ pts·1%(-54%)Florida Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 14+ pts·68%(+54%)FL-14 House winner?·Democratic party·8%(-53%)West Virginia's 2nd District margin of victory·Republicans, 42+ pts·63%(+51%)
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Summary

Jeffrey Vacirca is favored at 78% as of 11 Aug 2026, 14:03 UTC across 11 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Jeffrey Vacirca: 78% (24h change +17%)
  • Heidi Overton: 25% (24h change 0%)
  • Kyle Diamantas: 9% (24h change 0%)
  • Brett Giroir: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • Sara Brenner: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • Stephen Ferrara: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • Stephen Hahn: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Mehmet Oz: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Nicole Saphier: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Brian Christine: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Grace Graham: 1% (24h change 0%)
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