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Powered by KalshiPeak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)·July 24·96%(+95%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 55·63%(+47%)Pennsylvania State House winner?·Democratic party·46%(-42%)Who will drop out of their primary?·James Fishback·4.7%(-40.3%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Buenrostro-Mendez v. Blanche·42%(-33%)How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?·At least 3·53%(+31%)Navajo Nation presidential election winner?·Crystalyne Curley·62%(+28%)Will Todd Blanche’s AG nomination advance from committee?·Before Aug 1, 2026·36%(-27%)Will new tariffs become law?·Before Nov 1, 2026·56%(+26%)Clacton by-election: Count Binface vote percent·At least 20%·43%(-26%)When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?·Before Jan 1, 2027·32%(-25%)Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?·Before Jan 1, 2027·41%(+23%)Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?·Thomas Massie·43%(-22%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 10·79%(+22%)How many federal judges will be confirmed in Jul 2026?·At least 8·17%(-22%)
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Summary

Michael Carbonara is favored at 69% as of 28 Jul 2026, 17:03 UTC across 15 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Michael Carbonara: 69% (24h change +4%)
  • Belinda Kaiser: 25% (24h change -7%)
  • Casey Askar: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Steve Avila: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • David Burck: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Lateresa Jones: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Herbie Wertheim: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Deborah Adeimy: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Paola Branda: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Anna Medvedeva: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Antonio Srado: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Chris Collins: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Richard Evans: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Terri Hasdorff: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Michael Thompson: 1% (24h change 0%)
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FL-22 Republican nominee?

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