Powered by KalshiAlaska Senate primary: Dan J. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)·At least 4%·96%(+94%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 21, 2026?·James Talarico·2%(-78%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 25, 2026·18%(-61%)MI-13 House winner?·T.P. Nykoriak·5.7%(-56.3%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/14-8/21)?·Above 38.7%·7%(-56%)TX-32 House winner?·Dan Barrios·22%(-54%)When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?·Before Nov 1, 2026·71%(+51%)Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?·Philadelphia·66%(+44%)When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?·Before Sep 8, 2026·35%(-44%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jared Kushner·5.3%(-43.7%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 21, 2026?·39.4 to 39.6·51%(+40%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Republican National Committee v. Eakin·52%(+40%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·Alina Habba·3.5%(-39.5%)How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?·5·50%(-39%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 8-12%·1%(-39%)

Powered by KalshiAlaska Senate primary: Dan J. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)·At least 4%·96%(+94%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 21, 2026?·James Talarico·2%(-78%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 25, 2026·18%(-61%)MI-13 House winner?·T.P. Nykoriak·5.7%(-56.3%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/14-8/21)?·Above 38.7%·7%(-56%)TX-32 House winner?·Dan Barrios·22%(-54%)When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?·Before Nov 1, 2026·71%(+51%)Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?·Philadelphia·66%(+44%)When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?·Before Sep 8, 2026·35%(-44%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jared Kushner·5.3%(-43.7%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 21, 2026?·39.4 to 39.6·51%(+40%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Republican National Committee v. Eakin·52%(+40%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·Alina Habba·3.5%(-39.5%)How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?·5·50%(-39%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 8-12%·1%(-39%)

Summary

Amber Craig is favored at 23% as of 20 Aug 2026, 16:33 UTC across 1 market. Kalshi odds.

international1 marketLIVE

Greater Wellington Wairarapa by-election winner?

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Amber Craig

23%

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$69