Election
Odds
Powered by
Kalshi
U.S. Midterms 2026
2028 President
Congress
Indices
Power index
AI index
Policy
International
All markets
LIVE
·
Updated just now
Powered by
Kalshi
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)
·
July 20
·
80%
(+73%)
How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?
·
10
·
88%
(+73%)
Trump late night post this week? (7/26-8/1)
·
5-6 AM
·
99%
(+71%)
MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?
·
Wesley Bell, 6-9%
·
11%
(-60%)
NRCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
·
Above $75M
·
46%
(-43%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)
·
Above 35
·
34%
(-41%)
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
·
Alina Habba
·
60%
(+41%)
Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
41%
(-39%)
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?
·
Ron DeSantis
·
38%
(-37%)
KS-04 Democratic nominee?
·
Chris Carmichael
·
24%
(-35%)
Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)
·
Nick Begich III
·
75%
(+34%)
Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
18%
(-33%)
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
·
Ron DeSantis
·
60%
(+32%)
Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister?
·
Before Oct 1, 2027
·
30%
(-32%)
How many Senators vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?
·
Above 59
·
3%
(-30%)
Powered by
Kalshi
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)
·
July 20
·
80%
(+73%)
How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?
·
10
·
88%
(+73%)
Trump late night post this week? (7/26-8/1)
·
5-6 AM
·
99%
(+71%)
MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?
·
Wesley Bell, 6-9%
·
11%
(-60%)
NRCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
·
Above $75M
·
46%
(-43%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)
·
Above 35
·
34%
(-41%)
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
·
Alina Habba
·
60%
(+41%)
Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
41%
(-39%)
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?
·
Ron DeSantis
·
38%
(-37%)
KS-04 Democratic nominee?
·
Chris Carmichael
·
24%
(-35%)
Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)
·
Nick Begich III
·
75%
(+34%)
Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
18%
(-33%)
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
·
Ron DeSantis
·
60%
(+32%)
Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister?
·
Before Oct 1, 2027
·
30%
(-32%)
How many Senators vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?
·
Above 59
·
3%
(-30%)
Pause
Home
Markets
Other policy
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (7/26 - 8/1)
Back
Summary
Above 0
is favored at
16%
as of 27 Jul 2026, 01:03 UTC
across 1 market. Kalshi odds.
Above 0: 16% (24h change 0%)
policy
1 market
LIVE
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (7/26 - 8/1)
Trade ↗
Odds history
1D
7D
30D
90D
ALL
Loading chart
All options
Market
↕
Odds
↓
24h
↕
Volume
↕
Above 0
16
%
—
$1K
Trade ↗
Midterms
President
Congress
Indices
Power index
AI index
More
Policy
World
All markets