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Powered by KalshiGA-13 special election winner?·Everton Blair Jr.·98%(+87%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 25, 2026?·39.7·97%(+84%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout·Above 350k·99%(+84%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?·Darline Graham, 3-6%·99%(+81%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 45·11%(-75%)How many states will redistrict before the midterms?·Below 8·79%(+73%)Which peptides will the FDA propose adding to the 503A Bulks List?·BPC-157·79%(+69%)When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?·Before Dec 1, 2026·20%(-68%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 25, 2026·76%(+58%)MI-04 House winner?·Sean McCann·97.1%(+55.1%)MI-10 House winner?·Michael Bouchard Jr.·10%(-55%)When will AP call the South Carolina Senate runoff?·Before 8:30PM Aug 25·1%(-55%)Which Alaska candidates will drop out in Aug 2026?·David B. Leslie·17%(-54%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 35·11%(-54%)South Carolina Senate special election runoff margin of victory? (Directional)·Darline Graham, ≥3%·99%(+54%)
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Summary

Democrats, 3+ pts is favored at 74% as of 24 Aug 2026, 18:33 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Democrats, 3+ pts: 74% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 6+ pts: 65% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 9+ pts: 55% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 21+ pts: 11% (24h change 0%)
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New York's 19th District margin of victory

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