Powered by KalshiWhich abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?·Missouri Amendment 3·19%(-77%)Which peptides will the FDA propose adding to the 503A Bulks List?·BPC-157·79%(+69%)When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?·Before Dec 1, 2026·20%(-68%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout·Above 325k·83%(+48%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 35·11%(-40%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 10·28%(-38%)Texas Senate General Election: voter turnout·Above 10.60M·37%(-38%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 200·98%(+37%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·51%(-35%)How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/22-8/28)·At least 5·29%(-35%)Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend in 2026?·COVID-19·14%(-34%)Iowa Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 2+ pts·52%(+32%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 28, 2026?·Jon Ossoff·24%(-27%)French socialist bloc presidential primary winner?·Raphaël Glucksmann·64%(+26%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 60·17%(-25%)

Powered by KalshiWhich abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?·Missouri Amendment 3·19%(-77%)Which peptides will the FDA propose adding to the 503A Bulks List?·BPC-157·79%(+69%)When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?·Before Dec 1, 2026·20%(-68%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout·Above 325k·83%(+48%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 35·11%(-40%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 10·28%(-38%)Texas Senate General Election: voter turnout·Above 10.60M·37%(-38%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 200·98%(+37%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·51%(-35%)How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/22-8/28)·At least 5·29%(-35%)Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend in 2026?·COVID-19·14%(-34%)Iowa Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 2+ pts·52%(+32%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 28, 2026?·Jon Ossoff·24%(-27%)French socialist bloc presidential primary winner?·Raphaël Glucksmann·64%(+26%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 60·17%(-25%)

Summary

Republicans, 2+ pts is favored at 47% as of 23 Aug 2026, 21:33 UTC across 2 markets. Kalshi odds.

house2 marketsLIVE

Virginia's 1st District margin of victory

All options

Republicans, 2+ pts

47%

—

$350

Republicans, 5+ pts

30%

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$713