Election
Odds
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U.S. Midterms 2026
2028 President
Congress
Policy
International
All markets
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·
Updated just now
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WV-01 Democratic nominee?
·
Vince George
·
99.1%
(+90.3%)
Traffic through the Panama Canal in May 2026?
·
Above 900
·
7%
(-88%)
Which Senators will vote for Kevin Warsh as Fed chair?
·
Chris Coons
·
0%
(-83%)
Who will Donald Trump talk to in May 2026?
·
Jensen Huang
·
95%
(+79%)
SC-04 Republican nominee?
·
William Timmons
·
82%
(+77%)
Delaware margin of victory
·
Democrats, 13+ pts
·
12%
(-70%)
Who will be the next head of ICE?
·
David Venturella
·
89%
(+68%)
AL-01 Republican nominee?
·
Rhett Marques
·
1.1%
(-55.9%)
NE-02 Democratic nominee?
·
John Cavanaugh
·
0%
(-52%)
AL-04 Republican nominee?
·
Robert Aderholt
·
52%
(+46%)
Will the SEC eliminate the quarterly reporting requirement?
·
Before Apr 1, 2027
·
2%
(-46%)
AL-03 Republican nominee?
·
Mike Rogers
·
51%
(-44%)
Texas Republican Senate runoff: who endorses who?
·
Donald Trump → No one
·
43%
(+42.7%)
How many border encounters in Apr 2026?
·
12,000 to 13,000
·
62%
(-37%)
Trump late night post this week? (5/10-5/16)
·
5-6 AM
·
69%
(+37%)
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Kalshi
WV-01 Democratic nominee?
·
Vince George
·
99.1%
(+90.3%)
Traffic through the Panama Canal in May 2026?
·
Above 900
·
7%
(-88%)
Which Senators will vote for Kevin Warsh as Fed chair?
·
Chris Coons
·
0%
(-83%)
Who will Donald Trump talk to in May 2026?
·
Jensen Huang
·
95%
(+79%)
SC-04 Republican nominee?
·
William Timmons
·
82%
(+77%)
Delaware margin of victory
·
Democrats, 13+ pts
·
12%
(-70%)
Who will be the next head of ICE?
·
David Venturella
·
89%
(+68%)
AL-01 Republican nominee?
·
Rhett Marques
·
1.1%
(-55.9%)
NE-02 Democratic nominee?
·
John Cavanaugh
·
0%
(-52%)
AL-04 Republican nominee?
·
Robert Aderholt
·
52%
(+46%)
Will the SEC eliminate the quarterly reporting requirement?
·
Before Apr 1, 2027
·
2%
(-46%)
AL-03 Republican nominee?
·
Mike Rogers
·
51%
(-44%)
Texas Republican Senate runoff: who endorses who?
·
Donald Trump → No one
·
43%
(+42.7%)
How many border encounters in Apr 2026?
·
12,000 to 13,000
·
62%
(-37%)
Trump late night post this week? (5/10-5/16)
·
5-6 AM
·
69%
(+37%)
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Odds history
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Volume
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Before 2027
28
%
—
135
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Before Jul 1, 2026
18
%
—
227
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Before Jun 1, 2026
13
%
—
602
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