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Powered by KalshiTN-06 House winner?·Mike Croley·93.8%(+88.8%)Who will be arrested in 2026?·Lee Jun-seok·11%(-87%)FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, ≥50%·10%(-60%)When will the Senate pass a budget resolution?·Before Jan 1, 2027·37%(-54%)TN-05 House winner?·Chaz Molder·6.5%(-53.5%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/9-8/15)·At least 5·99%(+53%)Louisiana's 2nd District margin of victory·Democrats, 50+ pts·60%(+51.3%)FL-05 Republican nominee?·Mark Kaye·10%(-44%)Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?·Before Jan 1, 2027·62%(+42%)AK-AL primary: Who will advance?·Matthew Schultz·78%(+40%)When will AOC announce her presidential candidacy?·Before Apr 1, 2027·63%(+40%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/9 - 8/15)·Above 1·11%(-40%)How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (8/9-8/15)·At least 1·5%(-40%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/7-8/14)?·Above 38.6%·89%(+39%)Michigan's 10th District margin of victory·Republicans, 1+ pts·32%(-37%)
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Summary

Before Sep 1, 2026 is favored at 60% as of 14 Aug 2026, 03:03 UTC across 6 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Before Sep 1, 2026: 60% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Aug 28, 2026: 38% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Aug 25, 2026: 27% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Aug 18, 2026: 25% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Aug 21, 2026: 21% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Aug 14, 2026: 7% (24h change 0%)
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When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?

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