ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiWho will be arrested in 2026?·Lee Jun-seok·11%(-87%)Clacton by-election margin of victory?·Reform UK, ≥45%·7%(-63%)FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, ≥50%·10%(-60%)When will the Senate pass a budget resolution?·Before Jan 1, 2027·37%(-54%)TN-05 House winner?·Chaz Molder·6.5%(-53.5%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/9-8/15)·At least 5·99%(+53%)Louisiana's 2nd District margin of victory·Democrats, 50+ pts·60%(+51.3%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Joe Strada·66%(+48%)Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?·Aaron Guckian·28%(-44%)FL-05 Republican nominee?·Mark Kaye·12%(-42%)AK-AL primary: Who will advance?·Matthew Schultz·78%(+40%)When will AOC announce her presidential candidacy?·Before Apr 1, 2027·63%(+40%)FL-03 Democratic nominee?·Seth Harp·55%(-40%)How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (8/9-8/15)·At least 1·5%(-40%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/7-8/14)?·Above 38.6%·90%(+40%)
Back
Summary

Before Sep 1, 2026 is favored at 51% as of 14 Aug 2026, 05:03 UTC across 6 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Before Sep 1, 2026: 51% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Aug 28, 2026: 38% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Aug 25, 2026: 27% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Aug 18, 2026: 22% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Aug 21, 2026: 21% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Aug 14, 2026: 4% (24h change 0%)
presidential6 marketsLIVE

When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?

Trade ↗