Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Dan Bilzerian, 5-10%·1%(-97%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 17, 2026?·39.2·96%(+81%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?·Recep Tayyip Erdoğan·99%(+77%)Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?·Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure before Nov 11, 2026?·13%(-72%)Maine State Senate winner?·Republican party·88%(+68%)Who will finish first in the 2026 Likud primary?·Eli Cohen·70%(+66%)How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/15-8/21)·At least 50·31%(-64%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 10%·14%(-61%)Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?·Initiative #110·16%(-49%)FL-19 Republican primary: Jim Schwartzel vote percent·At least 30%·64%(+44%)Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?·Aaron Guckian·16%(-43%)Next Senate Democratic Leader?·Chris Murphy·52%(+40%)FL-06 Republican primary: Randy Fine vote percent·At least 80%·24%(-40%)NY-17 House winner?·Mike Lawler·71%(+36%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jared Kushner·43%(+35.5%)

Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Dan Bilzerian, 5-10%·1%(-97%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 17, 2026?·39.2·96%(+81%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?·Recep Tayyip Erdoğan·99%(+77%)Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?·Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure before Nov 11, 2026?·13%(-72%)Maine State Senate winner?·Republican party·88%(+68%)Who will finish first in the 2026 Likud primary?·Eli Cohen·70%(+66%)How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/15-8/21)·At least 50·31%(-64%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 10%·14%(-61%)Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?·Initiative #110·16%(-49%)FL-19 Republican primary: Jim Schwartzel vote percent·At least 30%·64%(+44%)Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?·Aaron Guckian·16%(-43%)Next Senate Democratic Leader?·Chris Murphy·52%(+40%)FL-06 Republican primary: Randy Fine vote percent·At least 80%·24%(-40%)NY-17 House winner?·Mike Lawler·71%(+36%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jared Kushner·43%(+35.5%)

Summary

Darline Graham, ≥9% is favored at 63% as of 18 Aug 2026, 00:33 UTC across 3 markets. Kalshi odds.

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South Carolina Senate special election runoff margin of victory? (Directional)

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Darline Graham, ≥9%

63%

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$500

Darline Graham, ≥18%

30%

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$500

Darline Graham, ≥21%

19%

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$700