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Powered by KalshiGA-13 special election winner?·Everton Blair Jr.·98%(+87%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 25, 2026?·39.7·97%(+84%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout·Above 350k·99%(+84%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?·Darline Graham, 3-6%·99%(+81%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 45·11%(-75%)How many states will redistrict before the midterms?·Below 8·79%(+73%)Which peptides will the FDA propose adding to the 503A Bulks List?·BPC-157·79%(+69%)When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?·Before Dec 1, 2026·20%(-68%)Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Mary Peltola vote percent·At least 50%·13%(-63%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 25, 2026·76%(+58%)MI-04 House winner?·Sean McCann·97.1%(+55.1%)MI-10 House winner?·Michael Bouchard Jr.·10%(-55%)When will AP call the South Carolina Senate runoff?·Before 8:30PM Aug 25·1%(-55%)Which Alaska candidates will drop out in Aug 2026?·David B. Leslie·17%(-54%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 35·11%(-54%)
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Summary

David Morales is favored at 53% as of 25 Aug 2026, 16:33 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • David Morales: 53% (24h change 0%)
  • Brett Smiley: 50% (24h change 0%)
  • Michael English: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Allen Waters: 1% (24h change 0%)
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