Powered by KalshiAlaska House winner?·Bill Hill·10%(-84%)Florida Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 10+ pts·92.4%(+81.4%)Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?·Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure before Nov 11, 2026?·13%(-72%)FL-20 Republican nominee?·Rod Joseph·21%(-57%)Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?·Initiative #110·16%(-49%)FL-06 Republican primary: Dan Bilzerian vote percent·At least 7.5%·32%(-48%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jared Kushner·7.5%(-41.5%)How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?·5·81%(+41%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 15%·12%(-38%)FL-06 Republican primary: Randy Fine vote percent·At least 80%·64%(+37%)FL-22 Republican primary: Michael Carbonara vote percent·At least 30%·74%(+35%)Number of White House Press Briefings in Aug 2026?·At least 2·24%(-32%)New Mexico Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 15+ pts·67%(+30%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/10 - 8/16)·Above 30·6%(-29%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 25·37%(-29%)

Powered by KalshiAlaska House winner?·Bill Hill·10%(-84%)Florida Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 10+ pts·92.4%(+81.4%)Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?·Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure before Nov 11, 2026?·13%(-72%)FL-20 Republican nominee?·Rod Joseph·21%(-57%)Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?·Initiative #110·16%(-49%)FL-06 Republican primary: Dan Bilzerian vote percent·At least 7.5%·32%(-48%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jared Kushner·7.5%(-41.5%)How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?·5·81%(+41%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 15%·12%(-38%)FL-06 Republican primary: Randy Fine vote percent·At least 80%·64%(+37%)FL-22 Republican primary: Michael Carbonara vote percent·At least 30%·74%(+35%)Number of White House Press Briefings in Aug 2026?·At least 2·24%(-32%)New Mexico Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 15+ pts·67%(+30%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/10 - 8/16)·Above 30·6%(-29%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 25·37%(-29%)

Summary

Above 280 is favored at 72% as of 17 Aug 2026, 01:03 UTC across 1 market. Kalshi odds.

international1 marketLIVE

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (8/17 - 8/23)

All options

Above 280

72%

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