ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiPeak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)·July 20·80%(+73%)How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?·10·88%(+73%)Trump late night post this week? (7/26-8/1)·5-6 AM·99%(+71%)MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Wesley Bell, 6-9%·11%(-60%)NRCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)·Above $75M·46%(-43%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 35·34%(-41%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·Alina Habba·60%(+41%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·41%(-39%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?·Ron DeSantis·38%(-37%)KS-04 Democratic nominee?·Chris Carmichael·24%(-35%)Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)·Nick Begich III·75%(+34%)Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?·Before Jan 1, 2027·18%(-33%)Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?·Ron DeSantis·60%(+32%)Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister?·Before Oct 1, 2027·30%(-32%)How many Senators vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?·Above 59·3%(-30%)
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Summary

At least 1 is favored at 99% as of 27 Jul 2026, 04:03 UTC across 9 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • At least 1: 99% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 2: 94% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 3: 86% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 4: 78% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 5: 67% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 7: 42% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 8: 30% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 10: 15% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 15: 3% (24h change 0%)
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Will Trump do anything this week? (7/26-8/1)

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