Election
Odds
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U.S. Midterms 2026
2028 President
Congress
Policy
International
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·
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CA-47 primary: Who will advance?
·
Dave Min
·
2.5%
(-92.2%)
CA-38 primary: Who will advance?
·
Pedro Casas
·
2.5%
(-88.5%)
Virginia Senate margin of victory
·
Democrats, 7+ pts
·
88%
(+87.7%)
When will ICE removal operations be funded again?
·
Before Jun 1, 2026
·
0%
(-84%)
Virginia's 11th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 11+ pts
·
83%
(+83%)
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
·
Before May 24, 2026
·
0%
(-83%)
Georgia Republican Senate primary: Mike Collins vote percent
·
40% - 45%
·
26%
(-63%)
FL-10 Republican nominee?
·
Stuart Farber
·
31%
(-45%)
FL-23 Republican nominee?
·
Joe Kaufman
·
16%
(-45%)
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?
·
Oregon
·
31%
(-45%)
FL-27 Democratic nominee?
·
Robin Peguero
·
22%
(-42%)
FL-16 Democratic nominee?
·
Jan Schneider
·
23%
(-37%)
Georgia Republican Senate primary: Buddy Carter vote percent
·
20% - 25%
·
9%
(-35%)
Indiana Republican Secretary of State nominee?
·
Diego Morales
·
2.3%
(-31.7%)
CA-37 primary: Who will advance?
·
Baltazar Fedalizo
·
61%
(+31%)
Powered by
Kalshi
CA-47 primary: Who will advance?
·
Dave Min
·
2.5%
(-92.2%)
CA-38 primary: Who will advance?
·
Pedro Casas
·
2.5%
(-88.5%)
Virginia Senate margin of victory
·
Democrats, 7+ pts
·
88%
(+87.7%)
When will ICE removal operations be funded again?
·
Before Jun 1, 2026
·
0%
(-84%)
Virginia's 11th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 11+ pts
·
83%
(+83%)
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
·
Before May 24, 2026
·
0%
(-83%)
Georgia Republican Senate primary: Mike Collins vote percent
·
40% - 45%
·
26%
(-63%)
FL-10 Republican nominee?
·
Stuart Farber
·
31%
(-45%)
FL-23 Republican nominee?
·
Joe Kaufman
·
16%
(-45%)
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?
·
Oregon
·
31%
(-45%)
FL-27 Democratic nominee?
·
Robin Peguero
·
22%
(-42%)
FL-16 Democratic nominee?
·
Jan Schneider
·
23%
(-37%)
Georgia Republican Senate primary: Buddy Carter vote percent
·
20% - 25%
·
9%
(-35%)
Indiana Republican Secretary of State nominee?
·
Diego Morales
·
2.3%
(-31.7%)
CA-37 primary: Who will advance?
·
Baltazar Fedalizo
·
61%
(+31%)
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