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Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, ≥50%·92%(+82%)Alaska Governor primary: who will advance?·Lesil McGuire·76%(+73%)New Hampshire State Senate winner?·Democratic party·97%(+58%)FL-19 Republican primary: Catalina Lauf vote percent·At least 35%·58%(+56%)Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?·Aaron Guckian·59%(+55%)WY-AL Republican nominee?·Kevin Christensen·51%(+50%)New Jersey Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 21+ pts·0.3%(-46.7%)When will AOC announce her presidential candidacy?·Before Jul 1, 2027·44%(-43%)Which ballot measures will pass in Oklahoma?·State Question 845·82%(+43%)Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO?·Mette Frederiksen·47%(+41%)Will Wyoming vote to exempt 50% of primary-home assessed value?·Will Initiative 1 pass?·35%(-41%)Alaska Senate: who will advance?·Dan J. Sullivan·43%(-39%)Alaska Senate primary: 1st place·Dan S. Sullivan·9%(-38%)Which bills will become law in 2026?·Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act·23%(-37%)Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?·Before 2030·37%(-37%)
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Summary

At least 25% is favored at 58% as of 15 Aug 2026, 13:34 UTC across 1 market. Kalshi odds.

  • At least 25%: 58% (24h change 0%)
house1 marketLIVE

FL-20 Democratic primary: Elijah Manley vote percent

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