Election Odds Powered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiWho will win the next Mexican Chamber of deputies election?·Morena·86%(+84%)Will Trump do anything this week? (6/28-7/4)·At least 4·1%(-50%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?·Vladimir Putin·99%(+49%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/29 - 7/5)·Above 200·35%(-44%)Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?·Before Aug 1, 2026·78%(+43%)How many people will Trump pardon in Jul 2026?·Above 249·12%(-42%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Tim Wilkins·17%(-31%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/3-7/10)?·Above 40.2%·80%(+25%)Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?·Vladimir Putin·21%(-22%)Who will attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner?·Sean Hannity·23%(-22%)Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?·Before Jan 20, 2029·73%(+21%)LA-04 Republican nominee?·Mike Johnson·29%(+19%)Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?·Wind turbines·29%(+19%)Georgia Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 10+ pts·3%(-18%)FL-27 Democratic nominee?·Robin Peguero·6%(-16%)
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Live summary

Democratic by 9.0% or more is favored at 15% as of 4 Jul 2026, 23:32 UTC across 20 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

  • Democratic by 9.0% or more: 15% (24h change 0%)
  • Republican by 9.0% or more: 9% (24h change 0%)
  • Republican by 1.0% to 1.99%: 8% (24h change 0%)
  • Democratic by 5.0% to 5.99%: 7% (24h change 0%)
  • Democratic by 7.0% to 7.99%: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Democratic by 6.0% to 6.99%: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Democratic by 4.0% to 4.99%: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Democratic by 3.0% to 3.99%: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Democratic by 2.0% to 2.99%: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Democratic by 0.01% to 0.99%: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Democratic by 1.0% to 1.99%: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • Democratic by 8.0% to 8.99%: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Republican by 0.01% to 0.99%: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Republican by 5.0% to 5.99%: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Republican by 6.0% to 6.99%: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Republican by 7.0% to 7.99%: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Republican by 8.0% to 8.99%: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Republican by 2.0% to 2.99%: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Republican by 3.0% to 3.99%: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Republican by 4.0% to 4.99%: 2% (24h change 0%)
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2028 popular vote margin of victory?

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