ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 20-30%·98%(+97%)Florida Democratic Senate nominee?·Angie Nixon·99.6%(+94.5%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 15%·99%(+94%)FL-24 Democratic nominee?·Shevrin Jones·1%(-92%)FL-06 Republican primary: Dan Bilzerian vote percent·At least 17.5%·99%(+91%)FL-19 Democratic nominee?·Howard Sapp·1%(-90%)FL-19 Republican nominee?·Catalina Lauf·0.1%(-89.9%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 12-16%·97%(+88%)FL-20 Democratic primary: Elijah Manley vote percent·At least 15%·1%(-88%)FL-27 Democratic nominee?·Eliott Rodriguez·99%(+87%)FL-12 Democratic nominee?·Darren McAuley·1%(-86%)FL-19 Republican primary: Catalina Lauf vote percent·At least 25%·1%(-82%)Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?·Heidi Overton·99%(+81%)FL-15 Democratic nominee?·Chris Irizarry·2%(-81%)FL-02 Democratic nominee?·Amanda Green·99%(+80%)
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Summary

Democratic by 9.0% or more is favored at 16% as of 18 Aug 2026, 20:33 UTC across 20 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Democratic by 9.0% or more: 16% (24h change 0%)
  • Republican by 9.0% or more: 9% (24h change 0%)
  • Republican by 1.0% to 1.99%: 8% (24h change 0%)
  • Democratic by 7.0% to 7.99%: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Democratic by 6.0% to 6.99%: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Democratic by 5.0% to 5.99%: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Democratic by 4.0% to 4.99%: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Democratic by 3.0% to 3.99%: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Democratic by 2.0% to 2.99%: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Democratic by 0.01% to 0.99%: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Republican by 0.01% to 0.99%: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Democratic by 8.0% to 8.99%: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Democratic by 1.0% to 1.99%: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Republican by 5.0% to 5.99%: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Republican by 6.0% to 6.99%: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Republican by 7.0% to 7.99%: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Republican by 8.0% to 8.99%: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Republican by 2.0% to 2.99%: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Republican by 3.0% to 3.99%: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Republican by 4.0% to 4.99%: 2% (24h change 0%)
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2028 popular vote margin of victory?

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