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When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?
·
Before Oct 1, 2026
·
17%
(-82%)
Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?
·
Missouri Amendment 3
·
20%
(-76%)
Texas State House winner?
·
Republican party
·
16%
(-72%)
Georgia Attorney General winner?
·
Tanya Miller
·
44%
(-53.3%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)
·
Above 35
·
72%
(+51%)
Will Serbia announce a snap election?
·
Before Oct 1, 2026
·
84%
(+45%)
Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?
·
Ulrich Siegmund
·
86%
(+41%)
New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 8+ pts
·
31%
(-39%)
Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
·
U.S.–Mexico interim agreement
·
33%
(-39%)
How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?
·
5
·
88%
(+33%)
South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Ralph Norman vote percent
·
At least 50%
·
64%
(+30%)
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?
·
Rebeca Grynspan
·
36%
(+29%)
Israeli legislative election winner?
·
Yashar
·
69%
(+28%)
Will the Clarity Act become law?
·
Before Jul 1, 2027
·
66%
(+27%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)
·
Above 30
·
55%
(+27%)
Powered by
Kalshi
When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?
·
Before Oct 1, 2026
·
17%
(-82%)
Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?
·
Missouri Amendment 3
·
20%
(-76%)
Texas State House winner?
·
Republican party
·
16%
(-72%)
Georgia Attorney General winner?
·
Tanya Miller
·
44%
(-53.3%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)
·
Above 35
·
72%
(+51%)
Will Serbia announce a snap election?
·
Before Oct 1, 2026
·
84%
(+45%)
Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?
·
Ulrich Siegmund
·
86%
(+41%)
New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 8+ pts
·
31%
(-39%)
Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
·
U.S.–Mexico interim agreement
·
33%
(-39%)
How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?
·
5
·
88%
(+33%)
South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Ralph Norman vote percent
·
At least 50%
·
64%
(+30%)
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?
·
Rebeca Grynspan
·
36%
(+29%)
Israeli legislative election winner?
·
Yashar
·
69%
(+28%)
Will the Clarity Act become law?
·
Before Jul 1, 2027
·
66%
(+27%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)
·
Above 30
·
55%
(+27%)
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Don Bacon
Don Bacon
Republican
Kalshi odds for Don Bacon. 2 markets tracked.
Top odds
6.5%
Don Bacon
Markets
2
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Before election day 2026
Will Don Bacon resign his office before the midterms?
1.1%
Other policy
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Don Bacon
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?
6.5%
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