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U.S. Midterms 2026
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Alaska Governor winner? (Person)
·
Dave Bronson
·
97.3%
(+91.7%)
MO-05 Republican nominee?
·
Taylor Burks
·
19%
(-47%)
Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?
·
40.8 to 41.0
·
71%
(+45%)
Will Graham Platner endorse a successor in Jul 2026?
·
Before Aug 1, 2026
·
36%
(-42%)
Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
29%
(-41%)
Will Trump do anything this week? (7/5-7/11)
·
At least 4
·
13%
(-36%)
Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?
·
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?
·
36%
(-33%)
Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?
·
Before Sep 1, 2026
·
85%
(+31%)
CO-04 House winner?
·
Democratic party
·
32%
(+30.4%)
TN-05 Republican nominee?
·
Charlie Hatcher
·
48%
(+30%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/6 - 7/12)
·
Above 150
·
37%
(-29%)
VA-01 Democratic nominee?
·
Salaam Bhatti
·
34%
(+29%)
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
·
Above 70
·
60%
(+28%)
New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?
·
John Sununu, ≥30%
·
58%
(+28%)
South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)
·
Democratic party
·
16%
(-27%)
Powered by
Kalshi
Alaska Governor winner? (Person)
·
Dave Bronson
·
97.3%
(+91.7%)
MO-05 Republican nominee?
·
Taylor Burks
·
19%
(-47%)
Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?
·
40.8 to 41.0
·
71%
(+45%)
Will Graham Platner endorse a successor in Jul 2026?
·
Before Aug 1, 2026
·
36%
(-42%)
Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
29%
(-41%)
Will Trump do anything this week? (7/5-7/11)
·
At least 4
·
13%
(-36%)
Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?
·
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?
·
36%
(-33%)
Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?
·
Before Sep 1, 2026
·
85%
(+31%)
CO-04 House winner?
·
Democratic party
·
32%
(+30.4%)
TN-05 Republican nominee?
·
Charlie Hatcher
·
48%
(+30%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/6 - 7/12)
·
Above 150
·
37%
(-29%)
VA-01 Democratic nominee?
·
Salaam Bhatti
·
34%
(+29%)
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
·
Above 70
·
60%
(+28%)
New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?
·
John Sununu, ≥30%
·
58%
(+28%)
South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)
·
Democratic party
·
16%
(-27%)
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Don Bacon
Don Bacon
Kalshi odds for Don Bacon. 2 markets tracked.
Top odds
6.5%
Don Bacon
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Before election day 2026
Will Don Bacon resign his office before the midterms?
1.1%
Other policy
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Don Bacon
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?
6.5%
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