Election
Odds
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U.S. Midterms 2026
2028 President
Congress
Policy
International
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·
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LA-01 Democratic nominee?
·
Lauren Jewett
·
91%
(+88%)
Florida's 6th District margin of victory
·
Republicans, 9+ pts
·
5%
(-71%)
Mississippi's 4th District margin of victory
·
Republicans, 28+ pts
·
1%
(-66%)
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (5/10 - 5/16)
·
Above 1
·
63%
(+49%)
Michigan's 10th District margin of victory
·
Republicans, 1+ pts
·
68%
(+41%)
New York's 4th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 12+ pts
·
1%
(-40%)
FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)
·
Above $10M
·
41%
(-39%)
North Carolina's 1st District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 4+ pts
·
1%
(-32%)
When will Trump visit China?
·
Before May 14, 2026
·
94%
(+30%)
GA-10 Republican nominee?
·
Ryan Millsap
·
46%
(+29%)
Arizona's 1st District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 5+ pts
·
65%
(+29%)
SC-02 Republican nominee?
·
Joe Wilson
·
32%
(+29%)
Louisiana's 2nd District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 26+ pts
·
37%
(-27%)
Indiana Republican Secretary of State nominee?
·
Diego Morales
·
48%
(+26%)
CA-30 primary: Who will advance?
·
Dennis Feitosa
·
1%
(-25%)
Powered by
Kalshi
LA-01 Democratic nominee?
·
Lauren Jewett
·
91%
(+88%)
Florida's 6th District margin of victory
·
Republicans, 9+ pts
·
5%
(-71%)
Mississippi's 4th District margin of victory
·
Republicans, 28+ pts
·
1%
(-66%)
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (5/10 - 5/16)
·
Above 1
·
63%
(+49%)
Michigan's 10th District margin of victory
·
Republicans, 1+ pts
·
68%
(+41%)
New York's 4th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 12+ pts
·
1%
(-40%)
FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)
·
Above $10M
·
41%
(-39%)
North Carolina's 1st District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 4+ pts
·
1%
(-32%)
When will Trump visit China?
·
Before May 14, 2026
·
94%
(+30%)
GA-10 Republican nominee?
·
Ryan Millsap
·
46%
(+29%)
Arizona's 1st District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 5+ pts
·
65%
(+29%)
SC-02 Republican nominee?
·
Joe Wilson
·
32%
(+29%)
Louisiana's 2nd District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 26+ pts
·
37%
(-27%)
Indiana Republican Secretary of State nominee?
·
Diego Morales
·
48%
(+26%)
CA-30 primary: Who will advance?
·
Dennis Feitosa
·
1%
(-25%)
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