ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiAlaska Governor winner? (Person)·Dave Bronson·97.3%(+91.7%)MO-05 Republican nominee?·Taylor Burks·19%(-47%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?·40.8 to 41.0·71%(+45%)Will Graham Platner endorse a successor in Jul 2026?·Before Aug 1, 2026·36%(-42%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·29%(-41%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/5-7/11)·At least 4·13%(-36%)Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?·Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?·36%(-33%)Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?·Before Sep 1, 2026·85%(+31%)CO-04 House winner?·Democratic party·32%(+30.4%)TN-05 Republican nominee?·Charlie Hatcher·48%(+30%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/6 - 7/12)·Above 150·37%(-29%)VA-01 Democratic nominee?·Salaam Bhatti·34%(+29%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 70·60%(+28%)New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?·John Sununu, ≥30%·58%(+28%)South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)·Democratic party·16%(-27%)
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Summary

Troy Jackson is favored at 48% as of 10 Jul 2026, 12:33 UTC across 16 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Troy Jackson: 48% (24h change 0%)
  • Shenna Bellows: 35% (24h change 0%)
  • Nirav Shah: 9% (24h change 0%)
  • Dan Kleban: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • Graham Platner: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Jordan Wood: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • No one: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Janet Mills: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Sara Gideon: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Mattie Daughtrey: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Patrick Dempsey: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Brian Bryant: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Valli Geiger: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Jared Golden: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Emily Cain: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Chellie Pingree: 1% (24h change 0%)
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Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026?

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