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Powered by KalshiSouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout·Above 350k·99%(+88%)GA-13 special election winner?·Everton Blair Jr.·98%(+87%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?·Darline Graham, 3-6%·99%(+82%)How many states will redistrict before the midterms?·Below 8·79%(+73%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 45·14%(-72%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Darline Graham vote percent·At least 52%·99%(+62%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Ralph Norman vote percent·At least 49%·1%(-62%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 25, 2026·76%(+58%)Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Mary Peltola vote percent·At least 50%·12%(-58%)MI-04 House winner?·Sean McCann·97.1%(+55.1%)MI-10 House winner?·Michael Bouchard Jr.·10%(-55%)When will AP call the South Carolina Senate runoff?·Before 8:30PM Aug 25·1%(-55%)Which Alaska candidates will drop out in Aug 2026?·David B. Leslie·17%(-54%)South Carolina Senate special election runoff margin of victory? (Directional)·Darline Graham, ≥3%·99%(+50%)Spanish general election winner?·Spanish Socialist Workers' Party·17%(-50%)
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Summary

Republicans, 14+ pts is favored at 92% as of 13 Aug 2026, 06:04 UTC across 9 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Republicans, 14+ pts: 92% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 12+ pts: 82% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 16+ pts: 49% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 20+ pts: 49% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 18+ pts: 41% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 24+ pts: 29% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 22+ pts: 25% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 26+ pts: 24% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 32+ pts: 9.8% (24h change 0%)
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Kentucky Senate margin of victory

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