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Powered by KalshiTrump's approval rating on Aug 24, 2026?·39.3·1%(-98%)Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?·Missouri Amendment 3·19%(-77%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 45·86%(+74%)New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 8+ pts·31%(-39%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·47%(-39%)Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend in 2026?·COVID-19·14%(-34%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 200·78%(+33%)Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Mary Peltola vote percent·At least 50%·76%(+33%)Iowa Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 2+ pts·52%(+32%)When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?·Before Sep 1, 2026·54%(+32%)French socialist bloc presidential primary winner?·Raphaël Glucksmann·64%(+26%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout·Above 350k·11%(-26%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 60·17%(-25%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 35·50%(+23%)Will any state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras before 2027?·Will it be reported by a Source Agency that a U.S. state has banned, suspended or paused law enforcement use of Flock Safety or other automated licence plate reader cameras before Jan 1, 2027?·60%(+23%)
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Summary

Republicans, 2+ pts is favored at 60% as of 24 Aug 2026, 21:33 UTC across 6 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Republicans, 2+ pts: 60% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 5+ pts: 42% (24h change +1%)
  • Republicans, 8+ pts: 26% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 11+ pts: 23% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 14+ pts: 18% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 17+ pts: 16% (24h change 0%)
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Texas's 23rd District margin of victory

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