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Powered by KalshiNew York Attorney General winner?·Saritha Komatireddy·90.2%(+81.6%)How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?·10·19%(-69%)Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)·July 20·16%(-64%)Who will drop out of their primary?·James Fishback·4%(-55%)Navajo Nation presidential election winner?·Crystalyne Curley·62%(+55%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Jul 31, 2026?·Troy Jackson·68%(+45%)How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?·At least 3·57%(+39%)Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?·Before Jan 1, 2033·51%(+39%)Deportations in 2026?·Above 500,000·64%(+36%)How many new countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2028?·At least 3·37%(+30%)Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026?·Mark Zuckerberg·69%(+29%)How many federal judges will be confirmed in Jul 2026?·At least 8·17%(-28%)How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?·At least 7·51%(-28%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 40·49%(-26%)Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?·Thomas Massie·41%(-24%)
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Summary

Jack Bergman is favored at 94% as of 28 Jul 2026, 00:34 UTC across 3 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Jack Bergman: 94% (24h change 0%)
  • Matthew DenOtter: 7% (24h change 0%)
  • Justin Michal: 6% (24h change 0%)
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MI-01 Republican nominee?

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