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Powered by KalshiWho will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?·Lisa Nandy·95%(+92%)Who will be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer?·Ed Miliband·15%(-56%)NY-12 Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 110k·14%(-48%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/10-7/17)?·Above 5.9%·5%(-44%)Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)·Nick Begich III·96.5%(+40.5%)Will Daylight Saving Time become permanent?·Before Jan 20, 2029·69%(+36%)NY-12 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Micah Lasher, 4-6%·96%(+36%)Wisconsin State Assembly winner?·Democratic party·58%(-32%)What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?·Venezuela·56%(+31%)When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan?·Before 2030·2.1%(-30.9%)Who will leave California before 2027?·Larry Page·58%(-30%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 70·25%(-28%)Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?·Brett Matsumoto·89%(+28%)Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?·Before 2027·77%(+27%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (7/12 - 7/18)·Above 0·20%(-25%)
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Summary

At least 1 is favored at 23% as of 14 Jul 2026, 22:02 UTC across 3 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • At least 1: 23% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 3: 16% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 5: 7% (24h change 0%)
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How many FY2027 appropriations bills will become law before Oct 1, 2026?

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