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Powered by KalshiWho will win the next Mexican Chamber of deputies election?·Morena·86%(+84%)Will Trump do anything this week? (6/28-7/4)·At least 4·1%(-50%)Louisiana Senate General Election: voter turnout·Above 1.63M·59%(+49%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?·Vladimir Putin·99%(+49%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/29 - 7/5)·Above 200·34%(-45%)Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?·Before Aug 1, 2026·78%(+43%)How many people will Trump pardon in Jul 2026?·Above 249·12%(-42%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Tim Wilkins·17%(-31%)Arizona Republican Attorney General nominee?·Rodney Glassman·47%(+25%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/3-7/10)?·Above 40.2%·80%(+25%)Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?·Vladimir Putin·21%(-22%)Who will attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner?·Sean Hannity·23%(-22%)Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?·Before Jan 20, 2029·73%(+21%)LA-04 Republican nominee?·Mike Johnson·29%(+19%)Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?·Wind turbines·29%(+19%)
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Live summary

Adam Hamilton is favored at 85% as of 4 Jul 2026, 21:03 UTC across 11 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

  • Adam Hamilton: 85% (24h change 0%)
  • Sharice Davids: 9.7% (24h change 0%)
  • Erik Murray: 5.5% (24h change 0%)
  • Sandy Spidel Neumann: 4.2% (24h change 0%)
  • Noah Taylor: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Christy Davis: 1.3% (24h change 0%)
  • Patrick Schmidt: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Laura Kelly: 0.3% (24h change 0%)
  • Anne Parelkar: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
  • Michael Soetaert: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
  • Mark Holland: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
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