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Powered by KalshiTexas State House winner?·Republican party·16%(-72%)Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?·Before Jan 1, 2027·27%(-70%)When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?·Before Dec 1, 2026·88%(+66%)Will Serbia announce a snap election?·Before Oct 1, 2026·89%(+62%)Will Ontario lift its U.S. alcohol restrictions in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·83%(+56%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 30·74%(+48%)Will the ABA lose its law school accreditation power?·Before Jan 1, 2027·40%(-47%)New York's 17th District margin of victory·Republicans, 3+ pts·16%(-44%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·86%(+41%)Arkansas's 4th District margin of victory·Republicans, 36+ pts·59%(-37.8%)Idaho Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 19+ pts·59%(-35%)How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?·5·55%(-34%)New Jersey Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 17+ pts·65%(-34%)Who will be the next White House Director of Legislative Affairs?·No new Director of Legislative Affairs·47%(+32%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 10·78%(+31%)
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Summary

At least 5 is favored at 49% as of 23 Aug 2026, 21:33 UTC across 2 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • At least 5: 49% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 10: 22% (24h change 0%)
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