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Powered by KalshiWho will win the next Mexican Chamber of deputies election?·Morena·86%(+84%)Will Trump do anything this week? (6/28-7/4)·At least 4·1%(-50%)Louisiana Senate General Election: voter turnout·Above 1.63M·59%(+49%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?·Vladimir Putin·99%(+49%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/29 - 7/5)·Above 200·34%(-45%)Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?·Before Aug 1, 2026·78%(+43%)How many people will Trump pardon in Jul 2026?·Above 249·12%(-42%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Tim Wilkins·17%(-31%)Arizona Republican Attorney General nominee?·Rodney Glassman·47%(+25%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/3-7/10)?·Above 40.2%·80%(+25%)Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?·Vladimir Putin·21%(-22%)Who will attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner?·Sean Hannity·23%(-22%)Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?·Before Jan 20, 2029·73%(+21%)LA-04 Republican nominee?·Mike Johnson·29%(+19%)Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?·Wind turbines·29%(+19%)
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Live summary

Michael Baumgartner is favored at 99% as of 3 Jul 2026, 16:33 UTC across 12 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

  • Michael Baumgartner: 99% (24h change 0%)
  • Carmela Conroy: 93% (24h change 0%)
  • Nate Powell: 10% (24h change 0%)
  • David Womack: 10% (24h change 0%)
  • Bajun Mavalwalla: 9% (24h change 0%)
  • Michael McGarr: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • Kevin Fagan: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Matthew Hayes: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Kyle Ursey: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Andrew Bartleson: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Richard Freudenberg: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Anthony Jensen: 1% (24h change 0%)
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