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Powered by KalshiAlaska Governor winner? (Person)·Dave Bronson·97.3%(+91.7%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/5-7/11)·At least 3·12%(-52%)MO-05 Republican nominee?·Taylor Burks·19%(-47%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·29%(-41%)When will Brian Johnson be confirmed as CFPB Director?·Before Aug 1, 2026·4%(-40%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?·40.8 to 41.0·61%(+33%)Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?·Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?·36%(-33%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/6 - 7/12)·Above 150·32%(-31%)Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?·Before Sep 1, 2026·85%(+31%)TN-05 Republican nominee?·Charlie Hatcher·48%(+30%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 70·60%(+28%)New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?·John Sununu, ≥30%·58%(+28%)South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)·Democratic party·16%(-27%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/3-7/10)?·Above 5.6%·96%(+26%)FL-02 Republican nominee?·Luke Murphy·24%(+23%)
Powered by KalshiAlaska Governor winner? (Person)·Dave Bronson·97.3%(+91.7%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/5-7/11)·At least 3·12%(-52%)MO-05 Republican nominee?·Taylor Burks·19%(-47%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·29%(-41%)When will Brian Johnson be confirmed as CFPB Director?·Before Aug 1, 2026·4%(-40%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?·40.8 to 41.0·61%(+33%)Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?·Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?·36%(-33%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/6 - 7/12)·Above 150·32%(-31%)Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?·Before Sep 1, 2026·85%(+31%)TN-05 Republican nominee?·Charlie Hatcher·48%(+30%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 70·60%(+28%)New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?·John Sununu, ≥30%·58%(+28%)South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)·Democratic party·16%(-27%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/3-7/10)?·Above 5.6%·96%(+26%)FL-02 Republican nominee?·Luke Murphy·24%(+23%)
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JD Vance

Kalshi odds for JD Vance. 13 markets tracked.

Top odds
74%
Before Oct 1, 2027
Markets
13
Categories
Presidential

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Presidential

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Before Oct 1, 2027
When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?
74%
Before Jul 1, 2027
When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?
61%
JD Vance
Who will Trump pardon?
+2%50%
Before Apr 1, 2027
When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?
31%
Before Jan 1, 2027
When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?
19%
JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
11%
JD Vance defeats Kamala Harris
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
+1%5%
JD Vance defeats Jon Ossoff
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
3%
JD Vance defeats Josh Shapiro
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
3%
JD Vance defeats AOC
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
2%
JD Vance defeats Andy Beshear
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
2%
JD Vance defeats James Talarico
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
1%
JD Vance defeats Pete Buttigieg
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
1%
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