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Powered by KalshiMD-01 Republican nominee?·Andy Harris·97%(+96%)MD-02 Democratic nominee?·Johnny Olszewski·97%(+96%)MD-08 Democratic nominee?·Jamie Raskin·97%(+96%)OK-03 Republican nominee?·Frank Lucas·97%(+96%)CA-06 primary: Who will advance?·Kevin Kiley·95%(+94%)CA-13 primary: first place·Adam Gray·92%(+92%)MI-01 Republican nominee?·Jack Bergman·94%(+92%)FL-08 Republican nominee?·Mike Haridopolos·2%(-91%)Maine's 1st District margin of victory·Democrats, 17+ pts·91%(+91%)NY-03 Republican nominee?·Michael J LiPetri Jr·92%(+91%)Arizona's 3rd District margin of victory·Democrats, 39+ pts·1.1%(-90.1%)WI-04 Democratic nominee?·Gwen Moore·92%(+90%)SD-AL House winner?·Republican party·93.7%(+88.7%)New York's 15th District margin of victory·Democrats, 49+ pts·2%(-88.2%)Massachusetts's 6th District margin of victory·Democrats, 16+ pts·1.1%(-87.9%)
Powered by KalshiMD-01 Republican nominee?·Andy Harris·97%(+96%)MD-02 Democratic nominee?·Johnny Olszewski·97%(+96%)MD-08 Democratic nominee?·Jamie Raskin·97%(+96%)OK-03 Republican nominee?·Frank Lucas·97%(+96%)CA-06 primary: Who will advance?·Kevin Kiley·95%(+94%)CA-13 primary: first place·Adam Gray·92%(+92%)MI-01 Republican nominee?·Jack Bergman·94%(+92%)FL-08 Republican nominee?·Mike Haridopolos·2%(-91%)Maine's 1st District margin of victory·Democrats, 17+ pts·91%(+91%)NY-03 Republican nominee?·Michael J LiPetri Jr·92%(+91%)Arizona's 3rd District margin of victory·Democrats, 39+ pts·1.1%(-90.1%)WI-04 Democratic nominee?·Gwen Moore·92%(+90%)SD-AL House winner?·Republican party·93.7%(+88.7%)New York's 15th District margin of victory·Democrats, 49+ pts·2%(-88.2%)Massachusetts's 6th District margin of victory·Democrats, 16+ pts·1.1%(-87.9%)
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JD Vance

Live prediction market odds for JD Vance. 15 markets tracked.

Top odds
67% ▼ -1%
Before Oct 1, 2027
Markets
15
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Presidential International

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Presidential

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Before Oct 1, 2027
When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?
-1% 67%
Before Jul 1, 2027
When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?
-1% 58%
JD Vance
Who will Trump pardon?
48%
Before Apr 1, 2027
When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?
+1% 34%
JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
+5% 15%
Before Jan 1, 2027
When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?
14%
JD Vance defeats Kamala Harris
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
3%
JD Vance defeats Andy Beshear
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
1%
JD Vance defeats AOC
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
1%
JD Vance defeats Jon Ossoff
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
1%
JD Vance defeats Josh Shapiro
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
1%
JD Vance defeats Pete Buttigieg
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
1%
JD Vance defeats James Talarico
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
0%

International

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JD Vance
Who will visit Iran before July?
-0.4% 2.8%
Before May 29, 2026
When will JD Vance visit Pakistan?
-3% 0%
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