Powered by KalshiHow many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?·At least 9·8%(-74%)Will Trump order mandatory pre-release federal review of AI models?·Before Sep 1, 2026·21%(-70%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?·Mohammed bin Salman·99%(+70%)When will the FY2027 NDAA become law?·Before Nov 1, 2026·16%(-62%)Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?·Ending Jun 4, 2029·28%(-50%)FL-07 Republican nominee?·Ryan Elijah·62%(+45%)Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?·Before 2027·57%(+44%)Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?·Ed Miliband·90%(+40%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 80·20%(-39%)Louisiana's 2nd District margin of victory·Democrats, 35+ pts·61%(+35%)Will China unban Bitcoin?·Before 2030·17%(-32%)NY-12 Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 110k·62%(-30%)TN-05 Republican nominee?·Charlie Hatcher·18%(-30%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?·40.8 to 41.0·90%(+28%)Colorado Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 12+ pts·96%(+27%)

Powered by KalshiHow many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?·At least 9·8%(-74%)Will Trump order mandatory pre-release federal review of AI models?·Before Sep 1, 2026·21%(-70%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?·Mohammed bin Salman·99%(+70%)When will the FY2027 NDAA become law?·Before Nov 1, 2026·16%(-62%)Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?·Ending Jun 4, 2029·28%(-50%)FL-07 Republican nominee?·Ryan Elijah·62%(+45%)Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?·Before 2027·57%(+44%)Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?·Ed Miliband·90%(+40%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 80·20%(-39%)Louisiana's 2nd District margin of victory·Democrats, 35+ pts·61%(+35%)Will China unban Bitcoin?·Before 2030·17%(-32%)NY-12 Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 110k·62%(-30%)TN-05 Republican nominee?·Charlie Hatcher·18%(-30%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?·40.8 to 41.0·90%(+28%)Colorado Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 12+ pts·96%(+27%)

Summary

At least 10 is favored at 36% as of 9 Jul 2026, 22:33 UTC across 1 market. Kalshi odds.

congressional1 marketLIVE

How many AIPAC-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?

All options

At least 10

36%

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$2K