Powered by KalshiWho will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?·Brett Matsumoto·16%(-73%)Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?·Otzma Yehudit·34%(-63%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/17-7/24)?·Above 5.2%·99%(+60%)Massachusetts's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 73+ pts·95%(+58%)Arizona's 3rd District margin of victory·Democrats, 63+ pts·66%(+56%)When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?·Before Aug 8, 2026·2%(-53%)New Jersey's 8th District margin of victory·Democrats, 44+ pts·91.2%(+50.2%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 24, 2026?·41.1 to 41.3·1%(-46%)Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory·Lula da Silva, ≥15%·6%(-41%)Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026?·Anthony Fauci·40%(-38%)Will a cabinet member be impeached?·Before 2028·63%(+38%)When will Trump and Netanyahu meet?·Before Aug 1, 2026·28%(-37%)Will the U.S.–Saudi nuclear cooperation agreement enter into force?·Before Jan 1, 2027·32%(-37%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Jul 31, 2026?·Jon Ossoff·78%(+36%)Will Todd Blanche’s AG nomination advance from committee?·Before Jan 1, 2027·49%(-35%)

Powered by KalshiWho will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?·Brett Matsumoto·16%(-73%)Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?·Otzma Yehudit·34%(-63%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/17-7/24)?·Above 5.2%·99%(+60%)Massachusetts's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 73+ pts·95%(+58%)Arizona's 3rd District margin of victory·Democrats, 63+ pts·66%(+56%)When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?·Before Aug 8, 2026·2%(-53%)New Jersey's 8th District margin of victory·Democrats, 44+ pts·91.2%(+50.2%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 24, 2026?·41.1 to 41.3·1%(-46%)Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory·Lula da Silva, ≥15%·6%(-41%)Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026?·Anthony Fauci·40%(-38%)Will a cabinet member be impeached?·Before 2028·63%(+38%)When will Trump and Netanyahu meet?·Before Aug 1, 2026·28%(-37%)Will the U.S.–Saudi nuclear cooperation agreement enter into force?·Before Jan 1, 2027·32%(-37%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Jul 31, 2026?·Jon Ossoff·78%(+36%)Will Todd Blanche’s AG nomination advance from committee?·Before Jan 1, 2027·49%(-35%)

Summary

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the additional 50% tariffs established by President Donald Trump’s three July 20, 2026 Section 338 proclamations begin applying to covered Canadian goods on August 19, 2026 before Aug 20, 2026? is favored at 41% as of 23 Jul 2026, 21:33 UTC across 1 market. Kalshi odds.

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Will Trump’s 50% tariffs on Canada take effect August 19?

All options

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the additional 50% tariffs established by President Donald Trump’s three July 20, 2026 Section 338 proclamations begin applying to covered Canadian goods on August 19, 2026 before Aug 20, 2026?

41%

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$616