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Powered by KalshiWhich abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?·Missouri Amendment 3·19%(-77%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 45·86%(+74%)Which peptides will the FDA propose adding to the 503A Bulks List?·BPC-157·79%(+69%)When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?·Before Dec 1, 2026·20%(-68%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 35·11%(-40%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 10·28%(-38%)Texas Senate General Election: voter turnout·Above 10.60M·37%(-38%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 200·98%(+37%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·51%(-35%)How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/22-8/28)·At least 5·29%(-35%)Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend in 2026?·COVID-19·14%(-34%)Iowa Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 2+ pts·52%(+32%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 28, 2026?·Jon Ossoff·24%(-27%)French socialist bloc presidential primary winner?·Raphaël Glucksmann·64%(+26%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 60·17%(-25%)
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Summary

Republicans, 3+ pts is favored at 71% as of 24 Aug 2026, 20:33 UTC across 10 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Republicans, 3+ pts: 71% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 5+ pts: 60% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 7+ pts: 46% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 9+ pts: 33% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 11+ pts: 17% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 15+ pts: 13% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 13+ pts: 11% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 23+ pts: 9.2% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 17+ pts: 7.9% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 19+ pts: 5.8% (24h change 0%)
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Kansas Senate margin of victory

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