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Powered by KalshiTrump's approval rating on Aug 24, 2026?·39.4·1%(-98%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 50·93%(+85%)When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?·Before Oct 1, 2026·17%(-82%)Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?·Missouri Amendment 3·19%(-77%)Georgia Attorney General winner?·Tanya Miller·44%(-53.3%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 30·90%(+42%)New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 8+ pts·31%(-39%)Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?·U.S.–Mexico interim agreement·33%(-39%)How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?·5·88%(+33%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 10·48%(-30%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Ralph Norman vote percent·At least 50%·64%(+30%)How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/22-8/28)·At least 5·63%(+29%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout·Above 350k·11%(-26%)South Carolina Senate GOP runoff: which counties will Darline Graham win?·Oconee·55%(-25%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 60·17%(-25%)
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Summary

Republicans, 3+ pts is favored at 47% as of 24 Aug 2026, 21:03 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Republicans, 3+ pts: 47% (24h change +2%)
  • Republicans, 6+ pts: 34% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 9+ pts: 21% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 15+ pts: 14% (24h change 0%)
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Montana's 1st District margin of victory

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