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Powered by KalshiTrump's approval rating on Aug 24, 2026?·39.3·1%(-98%)Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?·Missouri Amendment 3·19%(-77%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 45·86%(+74%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?·Jensen Huang·5%(-45%)New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 8+ pts·31%(-39%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·47%(-39%)Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend in 2026?·COVID-19·14%(-34%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 200·78%(+33%)Iowa Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 2+ pts·52%(+32%)Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Mary Peltola vote percent·At least 50%·70%(+27%)French socialist bloc presidential primary winner?·Raphaël Glucksmann·64%(+26%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout·Above 350k·11%(-26%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 60·17%(-25%)Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/17 - 8/23)·August 21·32%(+25%)Will any state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras before 2027?·Will it be reported by a Source Agency that a U.S. state has banned, suspended or paused law enforcement use of Flock Safety or other automated licence plate reader cameras before Jan 1, 2027?·60%(+23%)
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Summary

Democrats, 15+ pts is favored at 88% as of 24 Aug 2026, 18:33 UTC across 10 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Democrats, 15+ pts: 88% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 17+ pts: 76% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 21+ pts: 66% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 19+ pts: 65% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 23+ pts: 57% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 25+ pts: 49% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 27+ pts: 39% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 29+ pts: 31% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 31+ pts: 22% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 33+ pts: 13% (24h change 0%)
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Oregon Senate margin of victory

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