ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiTrump's approval rating on Aug 24, 2026?·39.3·1%(-98%)Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?·Missouri Amendment 3·19%(-77%)When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?·Before Oct 1, 2026·24%(-75%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 45·86%(+74%)Georgia Attorney General winner?·Tanya Miller·44%(-53.3%)How many government shutdowns in 2026?·3·68%(+46%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 35·61%(+45%)Traffic through the Suez Canal? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 300·73%(+45%)New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 8+ pts·31%(-39%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·47%(-39%)Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?·U.S.–Mexico interim agreement·33%(-39%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Ralph Norman vote percent·At least 53%·18%(-36%)Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend in 2026?·COVID-19·14%(-34%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 200·78%(+33%)When will FISA be reauthorized again?·Before Jan 1, 2027·26%(-33%)
Back
Summary

Republicans, 15+ pts is favored at 80% as of 24 Aug 2026, 20:33 UTC across 8 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Republicans, 15+ pts: 80% (24h change -6%)
  • Republicans, 17+ pts: 69% (24h change -1%)
  • Republicans, 21+ pts: 54% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 19+ pts: 53% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 23+ pts: 43% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 25+ pts: 37% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 27+ pts: 31% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 31+ pts: 23% (24h change 0%)
senate8 marketsLIVE

South Dakota Senate margin of victory

Trade ↗