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Powered by KalshiAlaska Governor winner? (Person)·Dave Bronson·97.3%(+91.7%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/5-7/11)·At least 2·23%(-63%)MO-05 Republican nominee?·Taylor Burks·19%(-47%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·29%(-41%)When will Brian Johnson be confirmed as CFPB Director?·Before Aug 1, 2026·4%(-40%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?·40.8 to 41.0·61%(+33%)Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?·Before Sep 1, 2026·85%(+31%)TN-05 Republican nominee?·Charlie Hatcher·48%(+30%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 70·60%(+28%)Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?·Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?·41%(-28%)New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?·John Sununu, ≥30%·58%(+28%)South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)·Democratic party·16%(-27%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/3-7/10)?·Above 5.6%·96%(+26%)Which state laws will be enacted in 2026?·$15 Minimum Wage by 2029·26%(-24%)FL-02 Republican nominee?·Luke Murphy·24%(+23%)
Powered by KalshiAlaska Governor winner? (Person)·Dave Bronson·97.3%(+91.7%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/5-7/11)·At least 2·23%(-63%)MO-05 Republican nominee?·Taylor Burks·19%(-47%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·29%(-41%)When will Brian Johnson be confirmed as CFPB Director?·Before Aug 1, 2026·4%(-40%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?·40.8 to 41.0·61%(+33%)Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?·Before Sep 1, 2026·85%(+31%)TN-05 Republican nominee?·Charlie Hatcher·48%(+30%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 70·60%(+28%)Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?·Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?·41%(-28%)New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?·John Sununu, ≥30%·58%(+28%)South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)·Democratic party·16%(-27%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/3-7/10)?·Above 5.6%·96%(+26%)Which state laws will be enacted in 2026?·$15 Minimum Wage by 2029·26%(-24%)FL-02 Republican nominee?·Luke Murphy·24%(+23%)
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John Thune

Republican

Kalshi odds for John Thune. 8 markets tracked.

Top odds
78%▲ +2%
John Thune
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8
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Presidential

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John Thune
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
9.7%
John Thune
2028 Republican VP nominee
0.8%
John Thune
2028 Republican presidential nominee
0.2%

Congressional

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John Thune
Who will attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner?
-7%57%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Will Trump publicly call for John Thune to step down as Senate Majority Leader?
-4%27%
Will the Senate Majority Leader resign before Nov 3, 2026?
John Thune announces departure before the midterms?
9%
John Thune
Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026?
1%

Cabinet

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John Thune
Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?
+2%78%
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