Powered by KalshiTexas State House winner?·Republican party·16%(-72%)Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?·Before Jan 1, 2027·27%(-63%)Georgia Attorney General winner?·Tanya Miller·44%(-53.3%)PA-08 House winner?·Paige Cognetti·20%(-49%)Will Serbia announce a snap election?·Before Oct 1, 2026·84%(+45%)New York's 17th District margin of victory·Republicans, 3+ pts·16%(-44%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·86%(+41%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 35·51%(+35%)Idaho Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 19+ pts·59%(-35%)How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?·5·89%(+34%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 20·10%(-28%)Israeli legislative election winner?·Yashar·69%(+28%)Will the Clarity Act become law?·Before Jul 1, 2027·66%(+27%)Argentina presidential election winner?·Axel Kicillof·37%(+25%)Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?·Ron Wyden·5.4%(-24.6%)

Powered by KalshiTexas State House winner?·Republican party·16%(-72%)Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?·Before Jan 1, 2027·27%(-63%)Georgia Attorney General winner?·Tanya Miller·44%(-53.3%)PA-08 House winner?·Paige Cognetti·20%(-49%)Will Serbia announce a snap election?·Before Oct 1, 2026·84%(+45%)New York's 17th District margin of victory·Republicans, 3+ pts·16%(-44%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·86%(+41%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 35·51%(+35%)Idaho Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 19+ pts·59%(-35%)How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?·5·89%(+34%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 20·10%(-28%)Israeli legislative election winner?·Yashar·69%(+28%)Will the Clarity Act become law?·Before Jul 1, 2027·66%(+27%)Argentina presidential election winner?·Axel Kicillof·37%(+25%)Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?·Ron Wyden·5.4%(-24.6%)

John Thune portrait

John Thune

Republican

Kalshi odds for John Thune. 9 markets tracked.

Top odds

77%

Will John Thune announce a run for U.S. Senate in 2028?

Markets

9

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Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

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2028 Republican presidential nominee

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Will John Thune announce a run for U.S. Senate in 2028?

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120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Will Trump publicly call for John Thune to step down as Senate Majority Leader?

Before Oct 1, 2026

John Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader?

Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026?

Before Nov 3, 2026

John Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader?

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