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Powered by KalshiTrump's approval rating on Aug 24, 2026?·39.3·1%(-98%)Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?·Missouri Amendment 3·19%(-77%)When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?·Before Oct 1, 2026·24%(-75%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 45·86%(+74%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 35·65%(+49%)How many government shutdowns in 2026?·3·68%(+46%)New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 8+ pts·31%(-39%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·47%(-39%)Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?·U.S.–Mexico interim agreement·33%(-39%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Ralph Norman vote percent·At least 53%·18%(-36%)Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend in 2026?·COVID-19·14%(-34%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 200·78%(+33%)How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?·5·87%(+32%)Iowa Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 2+ pts·52%(+32%)Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Mary Peltola vote percent·At least 50%·76%(+29%)
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Summary

Above $20M is favored at 99% as of 23 Aug 2026, 06:33 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Above $20M: 99% (24h change 0%)
  • Above $25M: 98% (24h change 0%)
  • Above $30M: 68% (24h change 0%)
  • Above $35M: 38% (24h change 0%)
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Jon Ossoff for Senate Total Receipts (Q3)

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