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Powered by KalshiSouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout·Above 350k·99%(+88%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 25, 2026?·39.7·97%(+85%)GA-13 special election winner?·Everton Blair Jr.·98%(+85%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?·Darline Graham, 3-6%·99%(+83%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 45·11%(-75%)How many states will redistrict before the midterms?·Below 8·79%(+73%)Which peptides will the FDA propose adding to the 503A Bulks List?·BPC-157·79%(+69%)When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?·Before Dec 1, 2026·20%(-68%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 25, 2026·76%(+58%)MI-04 House winner?·Sean McCann·97.1%(+55.1%)MI-10 House winner?·Michael Bouchard Jr.·10%(-55%)Which Alaska candidates will drop out in Aug 2026?·David B. Leslie·17%(-54%)South Carolina Senate GOP runoff: which counties will Darline Graham win?·Oconee·1%(-54%)Spanish general election winner?·Spanish Socialist Workers' Party·17%(-50%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Darline Graham vote percent·At least 52%·99%(+49%)
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Summary

0 is favored at 91% as of 26 Aug 2026, 03:34 UTC across 5 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • 0: 91% (24h change +3%)
  • 1: 8% (24h change -2%)
  • 2: 2.2% (24h change 0%)
  • 3: 0.8% (24h change 0%)
  • 4: 0.8% (24h change 0%)
senate5 marketsLIVE

How many Senate Democrats will lose their primary in 2026?

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0

91%
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1

8%
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2

2.2%
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3

0.8%
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4

0.8%
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