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Powered by KalshiTrump's approval rating on Aug 24, 2026?·39.3·1%(-98%)Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?·Missouri Amendment 3·19%(-77%)When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?·Before Oct 1, 2026·24%(-75%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 45·86%(+74%)Georgia Attorney General winner?·Tanya Miller·44%(-53.3%)How many government shutdowns in 2026?·3·68%(+46%)Traffic through the Suez Canal? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 300·73%(+45%)New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 8+ pts·31%(-39%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·47%(-39%)Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?·U.S.–Mexico interim agreement·33%(-39%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 35·52%(+36%)Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend in 2026?·COVID-19·14%(-34%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 200·78%(+33%)When will FISA be reauthorized again?·Before Jan 1, 2027·26%(-33%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Ralph Norman vote percent·At least 53%·21%(-33%)
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Summary

0 is favored at 88% as of 25 Aug 2026, 01:04 UTC across 5 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • 0: 88% (24h change 0%)
  • 1: 8% (24h change -2%)
  • 2: 2.2% (24h change 0%)
  • 3: 0.8% (24h change 0%)
  • 4: 0.8% (24h change 0%)
senate5 marketsLIVE

How many Senate Democrats will lose their primary in 2026?

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All options

0

88%
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1

8%
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2

2.2%
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3

0.8%
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4

0.8%
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