Powered by KalshiVirginia Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 7+ pts·88%(+87.7%)Virginia's 11th District margin of victory·Democrats, 11+ pts·83%(+83%)GA-07 Democratic nominee?·Anthony Kozycki·94%(+76%)PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory·Chris Rabb, 15-20%·92%(+76%)Oregon Republican Senate nominee?·David Brock Smith·88%(+71%)Kentucky Republican Senate primary: margin of victory·Andy Barr, 30-35%·8%(-64%)PA-03 Democratic primary: Chris Rabb vote percent·40% - 45%·27%(-59%)New York's 4th District margin of victory·Democrats, 12+ pts·49%(+49%)Will Trump order pre-release federal review of AI models?·Before Jul 1, 2026·77%(+47%)FL-10 Republican nominee?·Stuart Farber·31%(-45%)FL-23 Republican nominee?·Joe Kaufman·16%(-45%)Georgia Democratic Secretary of State nominee?·Penny Brown Reynolds·72%(+43%)TN-04 Democratic nominee?·Mike Cortese·56%(+42%)Alabama Republican Senate primary: Jared Hudson vote percent·25% - 30%·58%(+40%)FL-16 Democratic nominee?·Jan Schneider·23%(-37%)

Powered by KalshiVirginia Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 7+ pts·88%(+87.7%)Virginia's 11th District margin of victory·Democrats, 11+ pts·83%(+83%)GA-07 Democratic nominee?·Anthony Kozycki·94%(+76%)PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory·Chris Rabb, 15-20%·92%(+76%)Oregon Republican Senate nominee?·David Brock Smith·88%(+71%)Kentucky Republican Senate primary: margin of victory·Andy Barr, 30-35%·8%(-64%)PA-03 Democratic primary: Chris Rabb vote percent·40% - 45%·27%(-59%)New York's 4th District margin of victory·Democrats, 12+ pts·49%(+49%)Will Trump order pre-release federal review of AI models?·Before Jul 1, 2026·77%(+47%)FL-10 Republican nominee?·Stuart Farber·31%(-45%)FL-23 Republican nominee?·Joe Kaufman·16%(-45%)Georgia Democratic Secretary of State nominee?·Penny Brown Reynolds·72%(+43%)TN-04 Democratic nominee?·Mike Cortese·56%(+42%)Alabama Republican Senate primary: Jared Hudson vote percent·25% - 30%·58%(+40%)FL-16 Democratic nominee?·Jan Schneider·23%(-37%)

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How many Senate Democrats will lose their primary in 2026?

Odds history

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All options

0

71%

▲ +2%

0

1

15%

▲ +1%

27

2

5%

—

0

4

0.5%

▼ -0.5%

22

3

0.2%

—

49