Election Odds Powered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiWA-06 primary: who will advance?·Teresa Fox·91%(+73%)DNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 16 million·64%(+45%)TN-09 Republican nominee?·Brent Taylor·66%(+43%)Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?·Abdul El-Sayed, 12-15%·9%(-41%)FL-20 Democratic nominee?·Luther Campbell·42%(+38%)Georgia Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 10+ pts·37%(+34%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/3-7/10)?·Above 40.2%·47%(-33%)MI-07 Democratic nominee?·William Lawrence·49%(+24%)Will Graham Platner drop out?·Before Jul 14, 2026·25%(+23%)AL-01 Republican nominee?·Jerry Carl·94%(+22%)Who will AOC endorse?·Graham Platner·5%(-22%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Tim Wilkins·39%(+22%)Will Janet Mills endorse Graham Platner?·Before Nov 3, 2026·19%(-22%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (7/5 - 7/11)·Above 0·39%(-19%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/29 - 7/5)·Above 200·27%(-19%)
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Live summary

0 is favored at 78% as of 6 Jul 2026, 14:03 UTC across 5 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

  • 0: 78% (24h change +21%)
  • 1: 13% (24h change -7%)
  • 2: 4.9% (24h change 0%)
  • 4: 1.5% (24h change 0%)
  • 3: 1.4% (24h change 0%)
senate5 marketsLIVE

How many Senate Democrats will lose their primary in 2026?

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Odds history

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0

78%
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1

13%
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2

4.9%
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4

1.5%
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3

1.4%
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