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When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?
·
Before Oct 1, 2026
·
26%
(-73%)
Texas State House winner?
·
Republican party
·
16%
(-72%)
Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
27%
(-63%)
Georgia Attorney General winner?
·
Tanya Miller
·
44%
(-53.3%)
Will Serbia announce a snap election?
·
Before Oct 1, 2026
·
84%
(+45%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)
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Above 30
·
89%
(+44%)
Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?
·
Ulrich Siegmund
·
86%
(+41%)
New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 8+ pts
·
31%
(-39%)
Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
·
U.S.–Mexico interim agreement
·
33%
(-39%)
How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?
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5
·
89%
(+34%)
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?
·
Rebeca Grynspan
·
36%
(+29%)
Israeli legislative election winner?
·
Yashar
·
69%
(+28%)
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/17 - 8/23)
·
August 23
·
3%
(-26%)
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
·
Above 60
·
17%
(-25%)
Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?
·
Ron Wyden
·
5.4%
(-24.6%)
Powered by
Kalshi
When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?
·
Before Oct 1, 2026
·
26%
(-73%)
Texas State House winner?
·
Republican party
·
16%
(-72%)
Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
27%
(-63%)
Georgia Attorney General winner?
·
Tanya Miller
·
44%
(-53.3%)
Will Serbia announce a snap election?
·
Before Oct 1, 2026
·
84%
(+45%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)
·
Above 30
·
89%
(+44%)
Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?
·
Ulrich Siegmund
·
86%
(+41%)
New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 8+ pts
·
31%
(-39%)
Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
·
U.S.–Mexico interim agreement
·
33%
(-39%)
How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?
·
5
·
89%
(+34%)
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?
·
Rebeca Grynspan
·
36%
(+29%)
Israeli legislative election winner?
·
Yashar
·
69%
(+28%)
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/17 - 8/23)
·
August 23
·
3%
(-26%)
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
·
Above 60
·
17%
(-25%)
Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?
·
Ron Wyden
·
5.4%
(-24.6%)
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Zohran Mamdani
Zohran Mamdani
Democrat
Kalshi odds for Zohran Mamdani. 6 markets tracked.
Top odds
35%
Before Jan 1, 2030
Markets
6
Categories
Other policy
Congressional
Presidential
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Presidential
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Before 2045
Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?
9%
Zohran Mamdani
2028 Democratic VP nominee
-1%
1%
Zohran Mamdani
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
-0.1%
0.1%
Congressional
View all congressional →
Will Zohran Mamdani endorse any candidate in any 2026 primary election for public office whose jurisdiction is outside of New York State before Sep 15, 2026?
Will Mamdani endorse outside of New York?
+2%
15%
Other policy
View all other policy →
Before Jan 1, 2030
Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City?
35%
Before Jan 1, 2029
Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City?
18%
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