Flávio Bolsonaro
Live Kalshi election odds for Flávio Bolsonaro. 44 active markets and 24 historical markets tracked.
Active markets
International
View all international →Roraima
Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?
99%
At least 48%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent
+2%95%
Minas Gerais
Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?
94%
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1%
Minas Gerais: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff)
92%
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1%
Tocantins: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff)
90%
At least 49%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent
-1%90%
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥4%
Tocantins: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff)
87%
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥4%
Minas Gerais: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff)
83%
Flávio Bolsonaro
Brazil Presidential election winner?
+3%82%
Mexico
Brazil presidential runoff: which countries will Flávio Bolsonaro win?
81%
At least 50%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent
78%
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥7%
Tocantins: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff)
+3%77%
Colombia
Brazil presidential runoff: which countries will Flávio Bolsonaro win?
+1%75%
Amapá
Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?
+8%73%
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory
68%
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥7%
Minas Gerais: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff)
67%
At least 51%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent
-8%66%
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥3%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory
-3%56%
Costa Rica
Brazil presidential runoff: which countries will Flávio Bolsonaro win?
+4%50%
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥4%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory
-2%42%
Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6%
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory
+1%39%
At least 52%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent
-21%39%
Amazonas
Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?
+3%39%
Flávio Bolsonaro
Brazil presidential runoff: who will win the vote abroad?
+6%38%
Chile
Brazil presidential runoff: which countries will Flávio Bolsonaro win?
+12%37%
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥10%
Tocantins: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff)
35%
Uruguay
Brazil presidential runoff: which countries will Flávio Bolsonaro win?
+2%35%
At least 52.5%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent
-6%34%
Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3%
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory
-1%30%
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥5%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory
+2%30%
At least 53%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent
-9%22%
Will Donald Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election before Oct 26, 2026?
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro?
-7%19%
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥13%
Tocantins: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff)
16%
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥7%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory
-2%15%
Flávio Bolsonaro, 6-9%
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory
+7%12%
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥9%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory
10%
At least 54%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent
-8%10%
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥10%
Minas Gerais: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff)
9%
At least 55%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent
+3%8%
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥16%
Tocantins: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff)
+2%6%
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥11%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory
4%
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥9%
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory
3%
At least 56%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent
3%
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥13%
Minas Gerais: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff)
2%
Historical markets
Closed contracts with their last retained Kalshi prices. These prices do not verify final results.
Flávio Bolsonaro
Brazil presidential election: first round winner?
99.7%
Last recorded
Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-5%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
99%
Last recorded
At least 35%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round)
99%
Last recorded
At least 33%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round)
99%
Last recorded
At least 21%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round)
99%
Last recorded
At least 39%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round)
98%
Last recorded
Flávio Bolsonaro
Who will run for President of Brazil?
97%
Last recorded
At least 47%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round)
96%
Last recorded
At least 42%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round)
96%
Last recorded
At least 29%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round)
95%
Last recorded
At least 26%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round)
95%
Last recorded
At least 31%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round)
93%
Last recorded
At least 37%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round)
16%
Last recorded
At least 52%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round)
15%
Last recorded
At least 56%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round)
10%
Last recorded
At least 50%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round)
9%
Last recorded
Flávio Bolsonaro, 5-10%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
4%
Last recorded
Flávio Bolsonaro
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
3%
Last recorded
At least 54%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round)
2%
Last recorded
Flávio Bolsonaro
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
1%
Last recorded
Flávio Bolsonaro, 10-15%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
1%
Last recorded
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥15%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
1%
Last recorded
Flávio Bolsonaro
Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round)
1%
Last recorded
Flávio Bolsonaro
Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round)
1%
Last recorded
About these markets
How to read Flávio Bolsonaro's odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for a market involving Flávio Bolsonaro. Markets can ask different questions, so compare prices within the same event rather than treating every percentage as one overall candidate rating.
Flávio Bolsonaro odds FAQ
What are Flávio Bolsonaro's current election odds?
Flávio Bolsonaro is at 99% on "Roraima". ElectionOdds currently tracks 44 active Kalshi markets mentioning Flávio Bolsonaro.
How many prediction markets track Flávio Bolsonaro?
ElectionOdds lists 44 active and 24 historical Kalshi markets mentioning Flávio Bolsonaro.
Where does ElectionOdds get Flávio Bolsonaro's odds?
The percentages are traded prices from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. ElectionOdds displays the market data and does not create its own candidate forecast.