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Powered by KalshiWhich abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?·Missouri Amendment 3·14%(-82%)When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?·Before Oct 1, 2026·26%(-73%)Texas State House winner?·Republican party·16%(-72%)Georgia Attorney General winner?·Tanya Miller·44%(-53.3%)Will Serbia announce a snap election?·Before Oct 1, 2026·84%(+45%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 30·88%(+43%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·86%(+41%)New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 8+ pts·31%(-39%)Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?·U.S.–Mexico interim agreement·33%(-39%)How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?·5·88%(+33%)Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?·Rebeca Grynspan·36%(+29%)Israeli legislative election winner?·Yashar·69%(+28%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 30·54%(+26%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout·Above 350k·11%(-26%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 60·17%(-25%)
Powered by KalshiWhich abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?·Missouri Amendment 3·14%(-82%)When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?·Before Oct 1, 2026·26%(-73%)Texas State House winner?·Republican party·16%(-72%)Georgia Attorney General winner?·Tanya Miller·44%(-53.3%)Will Serbia announce a snap election?·Before Oct 1, 2026·84%(+45%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 30·88%(+43%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·86%(+41%)New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 8+ pts·31%(-39%)Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?·U.S.–Mexico interim agreement·33%(-39%)How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?·5·88%(+33%)Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?·Rebeca Grynspan·36%(+29%)Israeli legislative election winner?·Yashar·69%(+28%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 30·54%(+26%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout·Above 350k·11%(-26%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 60·17%(-25%)
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Joe Biden

Democrat

Kalshi odds for Joe Biden. 9 markets tracked.

Top odds
90%
Before Apr 1, 2027
Markets
9
Categories
PresidentialOther policyCongressional

All markets

Presidential

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Before Apr 1, 2027
When will Biden release his presidential memoir?
90%
Before Jan 1, 2027
When will Biden release his presidential memoir?
88%
Before 2028
Will it be reported that Joe Biden used Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate?
17%
Joe Biden
Who will visit the White House in 2026?
3.1%
Before Oct 1, 2026
When will Biden release his presidential memoir?
+1%2%

Congressional

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Joe Biden
Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026?
2.5%

Other policy

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Joe Biden
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
-1%26%
Joe Biden
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
4.2%
Joe Biden
Who will be arrested in 2026?
2%
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