Powered by KalshiWho will be the next Senate Judiciary chair?·Sheldon Whitehouse·91%(+87%)Who will visit the White House in 2026?·Jaxson Dart·97%(+83%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary margin of victory? (1st Round)·Darline Graham, 5-10%·94%(+79%)Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?·New York·4%(-78%)West Virginia Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 30+ pts·1%(-77%)How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?·At least 7·93%(+76%)When will Trump nominate someone to the Election Assistance Commission?·Before Oct 1, 2026·3%(-73%)Alaska House winner?·Bill Hill·94%(+70%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary: Russell Fry vote percent (1st Round)·At least 40%·70%(+68%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/10 - 8/16)·Above 225·77%(+66%)Will Trump endorse Netanyahu?·Before Oct 28, 2026·26%(-66%)Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?·Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure before Nov 11, 2026?·85%(+66%)Colorado's 1st District margin of victory·Democrats, 63+ pts·94.9%(+57.9%)Ken Martin out as DNC chair?·Before Sep 1, 2026·14%(-55%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary: exact place (1st Round)·Graham, Norman, Fry·99%(+55%)

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Active prediction markets, grouped by category

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2028 Democratic presidential nominee

47 options

18%
+1%

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

30 options

19%

2028 Republican presidential nominee

38 options

42%
+1%

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

3 options

21%
-2%

Will Trump be impeached?

4 options

56%
-1%

2028 Democratic VP nominee

45 options

9.7%
+0.2%

2028 Republican VP nominee

21 options

28%

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

37 options

87%

2026: Trump's dream year?

1 option

3.5%
-0.4%

Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?

1 option

19%
+3%

2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party)

2 options

58%

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

1 option

62%

Who will Trump pardon in 2026?

32 options

21%

Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

34 options

79%
+1%

What countries will Trump visit in 2026?

21 options

41%
+6%

Who will Trump pardon?

51 options

86%
+49%

Will Trump resign during his term?

1 option

18%
-1%

Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?

1 option

7.5%
+0.4%

2028 Presidential matchup

16 options

11%
-1%

2026: Trump's bad year?

1 option

4.1%

How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?

5 options

66%
+1%

Will Trump declare an election emergency?

2 options

38%
+3%

Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?

1 option

30%
+1%

Will Trump run for a third term?

3 options

21%
-1%

How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Aug 2026?

5 options

97%
+1%