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Alaska Governor winner? (Person)
·
Dave Bronson
·
97.3%
(+91.7%)
Will Trump do anything this week? (7/5-7/11)
·
At least 2
·
23%
(-63%)
MO-05 Republican nominee?
·
Taylor Burks
·
19%
(-47%)
Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
29%
(-41%)
When will Brian Johnson be confirmed as CFPB Director?
·
Before Aug 1, 2026
·
4%
(-40%)
Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?
·
40.8 to 41.0
·
61%
(+33%)
Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?
·
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?
·
36%
(-33%)
Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?
·
Before Sep 1, 2026
·
85%
(+31%)
TN-05 Republican nominee?
·
Charlie Hatcher
·
48%
(+30%)
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
·
Above 70
·
60%
(+28%)
New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?
·
John Sununu, ≥30%
·
58%
(+28%)
South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)
·
Democratic party
·
16%
(-27%)
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/3-7/10)?
·
Above 5.6%
·
96%
(+26%)
FL-02 Republican nominee?
·
Luke Murphy
·
24%
(+23%)
GA-13 special election winner?
·
Everton Blair Jr.
·
48%
(-23%)
Powered by
Kalshi
Alaska Governor winner? (Person)
·
Dave Bronson
·
97.3%
(+91.7%)
Will Trump do anything this week? (7/5-7/11)
·
At least 2
·
23%
(-63%)
MO-05 Republican nominee?
·
Taylor Burks
·
19%
(-47%)
Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
29%
(-41%)
When will Brian Johnson be confirmed as CFPB Director?
·
Before Aug 1, 2026
·
4%
(-40%)
Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?
·
40.8 to 41.0
·
61%
(+33%)
Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?
·
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?
·
36%
(-33%)
Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?
·
Before Sep 1, 2026
·
85%
(+31%)
TN-05 Republican nominee?
·
Charlie Hatcher
·
48%
(+30%)
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
·
Above 70
·
60%
(+28%)
New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?
·
John Sununu, ≥30%
·
58%
(+28%)
South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)
·
Democratic party
·
16%
(-27%)
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/3-7/10)?
·
Above 5.6%
·
96%
(+26%)
FL-02 Republican nominee?
·
Luke Murphy
·
24%
(+23%)
GA-13 special election winner?
·
Everton Blair Jr.
·
48%
(-23%)
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Rand Paul
Rand Paul
Republican
Kalshi odds for Rand Paul. 5 markets tracked.
Top odds
73%
Rand Paul
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Rand Paul
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
36%
Rand Paul
2028 Republican presidential nominee
0.7%
Cabinet
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Rand Paul
Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?
73%
Rand Paul
Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?
51%
Other policy
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Rand Paul
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
64%
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