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Alaska Governor winner? (Person)
·
Dave Bronson
·
97.3%
(+91.7%)
Will Trump do anything this week? (7/5-7/11)
·
At least 3
·
12%
(-52%)
MO-05 Republican nominee?
·
Taylor Burks
·
19%
(-47%)
Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
29%
(-41%)
When will Brian Johnson be confirmed as CFPB Director?
·
Before Aug 1, 2026
·
4%
(-40%)
Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?
·
40.8 to 41.0
·
61%
(+33%)
Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?
·
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?
·
36%
(-33%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/6 - 7/12)
·
Above 150
·
32%
(-31%)
Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?
·
Before Sep 1, 2026
·
85%
(+31%)
TN-05 Republican nominee?
·
Charlie Hatcher
·
48%
(+30%)
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
·
Above 70
·
60%
(+28%)
New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?
·
John Sununu, ≥30%
·
58%
(+28%)
South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)
·
Democratic party
·
16%
(-27%)
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/3-7/10)?
·
Above 5.6%
·
96%
(+26%)
FL-02 Republican nominee?
·
Luke Murphy
·
24%
(+23%)
Powered by
Kalshi
Alaska Governor winner? (Person)
·
Dave Bronson
·
97.3%
(+91.7%)
Will Trump do anything this week? (7/5-7/11)
·
At least 3
·
12%
(-52%)
MO-05 Republican nominee?
·
Taylor Burks
·
19%
(-47%)
Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
29%
(-41%)
When will Brian Johnson be confirmed as CFPB Director?
·
Before Aug 1, 2026
·
4%
(-40%)
Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?
·
40.8 to 41.0
·
61%
(+33%)
Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?
·
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?
·
36%
(-33%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/6 - 7/12)
·
Above 150
·
32%
(-31%)
Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?
·
Before Sep 1, 2026
·
85%
(+31%)
TN-05 Republican nominee?
·
Charlie Hatcher
·
48%
(+30%)
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
·
Above 70
·
60%
(+28%)
New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?
·
John Sununu, ≥30%
·
58%
(+28%)
South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)
·
Democratic party
·
16%
(-27%)
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/3-7/10)?
·
Above 5.6%
·
96%
(+26%)
FL-02 Republican nominee?
·
Luke Murphy
·
24%
(+23%)
Home
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Raphael Warnock
Raphael Warnock
Democrat
Kalshi odds for Raphael Warnock. 5 markets tracked.
Top odds
44%
Raphael Warnock
Markets
5
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Raphael Warnock
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
30%
Raphael Warnock
2028 Democratic VP nominee
2.8%
Raphael Warnock
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
0.5%
Congressional
View all congressional →
Raphael Warnock
Who will win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?
1%
Other policy
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Raphael Warnock
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
44%
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