Donald Trump
RepublicanLive Kalshi election odds for Donald Trump. 33 active markets and 99 historical markets tracked.
Top live odds
74%
Will Donald Trump or any members of his immediate family or their spouses receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?
Active markets
33
Active markets
Presidential
View all presidential →Will Donald Trump or any members of his immediate family or their spouses receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?
Will the Trump family be pardoned?
74%
Narendra Modi
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Oct 2026?
53%
Donald Trump
Who will Trump pardon?
49%
Gavin Newsom
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
39%
Gianni Infantino
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Oct 2026?
-4%26%
Before January 20, 2029
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
+1%23%
Will Donald Trump visit the U.S. Capitol before Jan 1, 2027?
Will Trump visit the U.S. Capitol again in 2026?
22%
Before 2028
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
-1%18%
1
How many people will Trump pardon in Oct 2026?
18%
Reza Pahlavi
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
14%
No one
Who will Donald Trump endorse in the 2028 presidential election?
8%
Donald Trump
Who will Trump pardon in 2026?
+2.2%6.2%
Tim Walz
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
-0.9%6%
Before 2027
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
+0.3%4.1%
Bill Clinton
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
3.1%
Supreme court
View all supreme court →Other policy
View all other policy →Donald Trump
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
44%
Abelardo de la Espriella
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
38%
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Oct 2026?
Will Trump order more tariffs in Oct 2026?
-8%35%
Will Donald Trump visit the Pentagon before Jan 1, 2027?
Will Trump visit the Pentagon again in 2026?
29%
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on establishing a tariff of 100% or greater specifically on imported generic pharmaceutical products during before Nov 3, 2026?
Will Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms?
14%
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on renaming U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement to a name abbreviated NICE (such as National Immigration and Customs Enforcement) during in 2026?
Will Trump rename ICE to NICE?
12%
Center for American Progress
Who will Donald Trump sue in 2026?
12%
Trevor Noah
Who will Donald Trump sue in 2026?
10%
Jeffrey Epstein's estate
Who will Donald Trump sue in 2026?
6%
Michael Wolff
Who will Donald Trump sue in 2026?
6%
International
View all international →Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Oct 2026?
+2%59%
Xi Jinping
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Oct 2026?
13%
Donald Trump
Which G7 leader will leave office next?
-2%7%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
-0.5%3.4%
Donald Trump
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
1%
Donald Trump
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
1%
Historical markets
Closed contracts with their last retained Kalshi prices. These prices do not verify final results.
Donald Trump → Ken Paxton
Texas Republican Senate runoff: who endorses who?
99.7%
Last recorded
Ahmed al-Sharaa
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
99.7%
Last recorded
Will Donald Trump's approval rating be above 38.6% for May 28, 2026?
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week?
99%
Last recorded
Above 1 second
How long will Donald Trump and Xi Jinping shake hands for?
99%
Last recorded
Above 10 seconds
How long will Donald Trump and Xi Jinping shake hands for?
99%
Last recorded
Above 3 seconds
How long will Donald Trump and Xi Jinping shake hands for?
99%
Last recorded
Above 5 seconds
How long will Donald Trump and Xi Jinping shake hands for?
99%
Last recorded
Delcy Rodriguez
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?
99%
Last recorded
Above 8 seconds
How long will Donald Trump and Xi Jinping shake hands for?
99%
Last recorded
Delcy Rodríguez
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Sep 2026?
99%
Last recorded
Mark Carney
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?
99%
Last recorded
Above 0
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in Sep 2026?
99%
Last recorded
Rory McIlroy
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Sep 2026?
99%
Last recorded
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jun 2026?
99%
Last recorded
Mark Carney
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jun 2026?
99%
Last recorded
Sanae Takaichi
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jun 2026?
99%
Last recorded
Keir Starmer
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jun 2026?
99%
Last recorded
0
How many people will Donald Trump pardon in May 2026?
99%
Last recorded
How many Donald Trump posts on X the week ending on Jul 1, 2026?
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in Jun 2026?
99%
Last recorded
Narendra Modi
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jun 2026?
99%
Last recorded
Darline Graham
Who will Trump endorse in the South Carolina Senate race?
98%
Last recorded
Mohammed bin Salman
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Sep 2026?
98%
Last recorded
Vladimir Putin
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jun 2026?
98%
Last recorded
Above 0
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in Oct 2026?
98%
Last recorded
Will Donald Trump's approval rating be above 39.3% for Jun 4, 2026?
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week?
97%
Last recorded
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Sep 2026?
Will Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
96%
Last recorded
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Aug 2026?
Will Trump order tariffs in Aug 2026?
94%
Last recorded
Mark Carney
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Sep 2026?
94%
Last recorded
John Thune
Who will Donald Trump talk to in May 2026?
94%
Last recorded
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on renaming Lake Ontario to Lake America before Oct 1, 2026?
Will Trump rename Lake Ontario to Lake America before October?
93%
Last recorded
John Thune
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?
93%
Last recorded
Mohammed bin Salman
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?
93%
Last recorded
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in June 2026?
Will Trump order more tariffs in Jun 2026?
92%
Last recorded
John Thune
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jun 2026?
90%
Last recorded
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?
Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?
88%
Last recorded
Elon Musk
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Sep 2026?
83%
Last recorded
Kevin Warsh
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Sep 2026?
78%
Last recorded
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Donald Trump holds a formal one-on-one bilateral meeting with Volodymyr Zelenskyy during the June 2026 G7 summit in Évian before Jun 18, 2026?
Trump-Zelenskyy bilateral at G7?
29%
Last recorded
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?
13%
Last recorded
Mohammed bin Salman
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jun 2026?
8%
Last recorded
Delcy Rodriguez
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jun 2026?
7%
Last recorded
Vladimir Putin
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?
6%
Last recorded
Hakeem Jeffries
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Sep 2026?
6%
Last recorded
Will Donald Trump meet in person Zohran Mamdani before Jun 9, 2026?
Will Trump meet Mamdani before Jun 9, 2026?
5%
Last recorded
Ron DeSantis
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jun 2026?
5%
Last recorded
Chuck Schumer
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jun 2026?
5%
Last recorded
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the additional 50% tariffs established by President Donald Trump’s three July 20, 2026 Section 338 proclamations begin applying to covered Canadian goods on August 19, 2026 before Aug 20, 2026?
Will Trump’s 50% tariffs on Canada take effect August 19?
4%
Last recorded
Benjamin Netanyahu
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?
4%
Last recorded
Zohran Mamdani
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?
3%
Last recorded
Russell Fry
Who will Trump endorse in the South Carolina Senate race?
3%
Last recorded
Jerome Powell
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jun 2026?
3%
Last recorded
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on revoking, terminating, or rescinding the suspension of entry for nationals of Haiti, Iran, Côte d'Ivoire, or Senegal before the World Cup?
Will the travel ban end for any countries participating in the World Cup?
2.9%
Last recorded
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jun 2026?
2%
Last recorded
Lai Ching-te
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jun 2026?
2%
Last recorded
Before Aug 1, 2026
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
1%
Last recorded
0
How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump Bedminster in Sep 2026?
1%
Last recorded
Will Donald Trump's approval rating be above 39.9% for May 21, 2026?
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week?
1%
Last recorded
Above 15 seconds
How long will Donald Trump and Xi Jinping shake hands for?
1%
Last recorded
Jensen Huang
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?
1%
Last recorded
4
How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump Bedminster in Sep 2026?
1%
Last recorded
Xi Jinping
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?
1%
Last recorded
Zohran Mamdani
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jun 2026?
1%
Last recorded
Jensen Huang
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jun 2026?
1%
Last recorded
Xi Jinping
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jun 2026?
1%
Last recorded
Hakeem Jeffries
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?
1%
Last recorded
Gavin Newsom
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?
1%
Last recorded
Lai Ching-te
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?
1%
Last recorded
María Corina Machado
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jun 2026?
1%
Last recorded
Gavin Newsom
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jun 2026?
1%
Last recorded
Reza Pahlavi
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jun 2026?
1%
Last recorded
Hakeem Jeffries
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jun 2026?
1%
Last recorded
Before August 1, 2026
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
0.3%
Last recorded
Donald Trump → John Cornyn
Texas Republican Senate runoff: who endorses who?
0.1%
Last recorded
Donald Trump → John Cornyn AND Ken Paxton
Texas Republican Senate runoff: who endorses who?
0.1%
Last recorded
Donald Trump
Which G7 leader will leave next?
0.1%
Last recorded
Above 60 seconds
How long will Donald Trump and Xi Jinping shake hands for?
0%
Last recorded
Above 30 seconds
How long will Donald Trump and Xi Jinping shake hands for?
0%
Last recorded
Above 20 seconds
How long will Donald Trump and Xi Jinping shake hands for?
0%
Last recorded
Before Jun 1, 2026
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
0%
Last recorded
Donald Trump → No one
Texas Republican Senate runoff: who endorses who?
0%
Last recorded
Benjamin Netanyahu
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jun 2026?
0%
Last recorded
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in May 2026?
Will Trump order more tariffs in May 2026?
0%
Last recorded
Gavin Newsom
Who will Donald Trump talk to in May 2026?
0%
Last recorded
1
How many people will Donald Trump pardon in May 2026?
0%
Last recorded
Ron DeSantis
Who will Donald Trump talk to in May 2026?
0%
Last recorded
John Cornyn
Who will Donald Trump talk to in May 2026?
0%
Last recorded
Hakeem Jeffries
Who will Donald Trump talk to in May 2026?
0%
Last recorded
Chuck Schumer
Who will Donald Trump talk to in May 2026?
0%
Last recorded
3 to 9
How many people will Donald Trump pardon in May 2026?
0%
Last recorded
Haitham bin Tariq
Who will Donald Trump talk to in May 2026?
0%
Last recorded
Donald Trump
Who will officially lead Venezuela on June 1?
0%
Last recorded
2
How many people will Donald Trump pardon in May 2026?
0%
Last recorded
10 to 14
How many people will Donald Trump pardon in May 2026?
0%
Last recorded
15 to 19
How many people will Donald Trump pardon in May 2026?
0%
Last recorded
20 to 24
How many people will Donald Trump pardon in May 2026?
0%
Last recorded
Above 24
How many people will Donald Trump pardon in May 2026?
0%
Last recorded
Kevin Warsh
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
0%
Last recorded
Above 0
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again in May 2026?
0%
Last recorded
Will Donald Trump's approval rating be above 39.9% for Jun 11, 2026?
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week?
0%
Last recorded
About these markets
How to read Donald Trump's odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for a market involving Donald Trump. Markets can ask different questions, so compare prices within the same event rather than treating every percentage as one overall candidate rating.
Donald Trump odds FAQ
What are Donald Trump's current election odds?
Donald Trump is at 74% on "Will Donald Trump or any members of his immediate family or their spouses receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?". ElectionOdds currently tracks 33 active Kalshi markets mentioning Donald Trump.
How many prediction markets track Donald Trump?
ElectionOdds lists 33 active and 99 historical Kalshi markets mentioning Donald Trump.
Where does ElectionOdds get Donald Trump's odds?
The percentages are traded prices from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. ElectionOdds displays the market data and does not create its own candidate forecast.