Powered by KalshiAlaska Governor winner? (Person)·Dave Bronson·97.3%(+91.7%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/5-7/11)·At least 2·23%(-63%)MO-05 Republican nominee?·Taylor Burks·19%(-47%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·29%(-41%)When will Brian Johnson be confirmed as CFPB Director?·Before Aug 1, 2026·4%(-40%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?·40.8 to 41.0·61%(+33%)Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?·Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?·36%(-33%)Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?·Before Sep 1, 2026·85%(+31%)TN-05 Republican nominee?·Charlie Hatcher·48%(+30%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 70·60%(+28%)New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?·John Sununu, ≥30%·58%(+28%)South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)·Democratic party·16%(-27%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/3-7/10)?·Above 5.6%·96%(+26%)FL-02 Republican nominee?·Luke Murphy·24%(+23%)GA-13 special election winner?·Everton Blair Jr.·48%(-23%)

Powered by KalshiAlaska Governor winner? (Person)·Dave Bronson·97.3%(+91.7%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/5-7/11)·At least 2·23%(-63%)MO-05 Republican nominee?·Taylor Burks·19%(-47%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·29%(-41%)When will Brian Johnson be confirmed as CFPB Director?·Before Aug 1, 2026·4%(-40%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?·40.8 to 41.0·61%(+33%)Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?·Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?·36%(-33%)Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?·Before Sep 1, 2026·85%(+31%)TN-05 Republican nominee?·Charlie Hatcher·48%(+30%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 70·60%(+28%)New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?·John Sununu, ≥30%·58%(+28%)South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)·Democratic party·16%(-27%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/3-7/10)?·Above 5.6%·96%(+26%)FL-02 Republican nominee?·Luke Murphy·24%(+23%)GA-13 special election winner?·Everton Blair Jr.·48%(-23%)

Donald Trump portrait

Donald Trump

Republican

Kalshi odds for Donald Trump. 20 markets tracked.

Top odds

68%

Will Donald Trump or any members of his immediate family or their spouses receive a presidential pardon before Jan 20, 2029?

Markets

20

Categories

Presidential Other policy Supreme court International

All markets

Presidential

View all presidential →

Will Donald Trump or any members of his immediate family or their spouses receive a presidential pardon before Jan 20, 2029?

Will Trump pardon any members of his family?

Who will Trump pardon?

Before January 20, 2029

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?

Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?

Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?

Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?

Who will Trump pardon in 2026?

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

Before August 1, 2026

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

Supreme court

View all supreme court →

a case primarily related to tariffs imposed by Donald Trump

Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?

Other policy

View all other policy →

Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?

Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?

Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?

Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on renaming U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement to a name abbreviated NICE (such as National Immigration and Customs Enforcement) during in 2026?

Will Trump rename ICE to NICE?

International

View all international →

Before Jan 1, 2027

Will Donald Trump visit Iran?

2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Before Aug 1, 2026

Will Donald Trump visit Iran?

Which G7 leader will leave next?

Related:All candidates·Presidential odds·All markets