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Powered by KalshiAlaska Senate primary: Dan J. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)·At least 1%·84%(+72%)FL-02 Republican primary: Keith Gross vote percent·At least 35%·13%(-61%)New Hampshire State Senate winner?·Democratic party·97%(+58%)New Jersey Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 21+ pts·99.9%(+52.9%)WY-AL Republican nominee?·Kevin Christensen·3%(-48%)When will AOC announce her presidential candidacy?·Before Jul 1, 2027·44%(-43%)Will Wyoming vote to exempt 50% of primary-home assessed value?·Will Initiative 1 pass?·35%(-41%)Which ballot measures will pass in Oklahoma?·State Question 845·76%(+37%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 30·25%(-35%)Michigan Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 1+ pts·72%(+34%)Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?·Initiative #175·10%(-34%)Will Steve Witkoff visit Russia?·Before Oct 1, 2026·62%(+32%)Michigan's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 4+ pts·35%(-30%)Which ballot measures will pass in Alabama?·Amendment 3·83%(+30%)Will Trump publicly call for John Thune to step down as Senate Majority Leader?·Before Jan 1, 2027·15%(-30%)
Donald Trump portrait

Donald Trump

Republican

Kalshi odds for Donald Trump. 33 markets tracked.

Top odds
92%▲ +2%
Benjamin Netanyahu
Markets
33

All markets

Presidential

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Benjamin Netanyahu
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?
+2%92%
John Thune
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?
-2%85%
Will Donald Trump or any members of his immediate family or their spouses receive a presidential pardon before Jan 20, 2029?
Will the Trump family be pardoned?
69%
Zohran Mamdani
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?
-4%65%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?
+18%63%
Mark Carney
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?
-7%59%
Donald Trump
Who will Trump pardon?
57%
Jensen Huang
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?
55%
Vladimir Putin
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?
-15%41%
Before January 20, 2029
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
25%
Xi Jinping
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?
+12%23%
Delcy Rodriguez
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?
18%
Before 2028
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
+1%15%
Bill Clinton
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
11%
Gavin Newsom
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
10%
Donald Trump
Who will Trump pardon in 2026?
-0.1%8.7%
No one
Who will Donald Trump endorse in the 2028 presidential election?
-5%8%
Lai Ching-te
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?
8%
Reza Pahlavi
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
7.7%
Before 2027
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
-0.1%4.9%
Tim Walz
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
4%
Hakeem Jeffries
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?
4%
Gavin Newsom
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?
-11%3%

Other policy

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Abelardo de la Espriella
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
70%
Donald Trump
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
+1%45%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the additional 50% tariffs established by President Donald Trump’s three July 20, 2026 Section 338 proclamations begin applying to covered Canadian goods on August 19, 2026 before Aug 20, 2026?
Will Trump’s 50% tariffs on Canada take effect August 19?
41%
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on establishing a tariff of 100% or greater specifically on imported generic pharmaceutical products during before Nov 3, 2026?
Will Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms?
34%
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on renaming U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement to a name abbreviated NICE (such as National Immigration and Customs Enforcement) during in 2026?
Will Trump rename ICE to NICE?
10%
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