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Powered by KalshiTrump's approval rating on Jul 17, 2026?·41.1 to 41.3·95%(+92%)AK-AL primary: Who will advance?·Matthew Schultz·12%(-82%)Will Darline Graham Nordone endorse in the South Carolina Senate race?·Before Aug 11, 2026·92%(+74%)Will it be reported that Joe Biden used Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate?·Before 2028·23%(-65%)FL-04 Democratic nominee?·LaShonda Holloway·74%(+65%)Who will run for South Carolina Senate?·Darline Graham Nordone·81%(+63%)Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?·Bill Gates·39%(-57.9%)Who will drop out of their primary?·Sara Rodriguez·99%(+48%)Next French presidential election winner?·François Hollande·51%(+48%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?·Darline Graham Nordone·55%(+41%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?·Sanae Takaichi·14%(-41%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/13 - 7/19)·Above 60·26%(-38%)TN-05 Republican nominee?·Charlie Hatcher·64%(+36%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/12-7/18)·At least 7·2%(-36%)Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?·Jonathan Reynolds·86%(+35%)

Kansas election odds — Senate, House, and governor race predictions

U.S. Midterms 2026

Senate, House, and governor races

426 races
224Dem
7 tossup
435 districts· 218 to control
Rep204
184
30
10
7
16
68
120

Odds breakdown — scroll for more →

highlighted = projected flip

Safe D (176)
CA-25
91
CA-26
5
TX-20
4
NM-02
90-19
AZ-04
91-11
NJ-03
91-11
CA-21
90-10
NJ-09
90-10
MI-03
91-10
MN-02
92-11
OH-13
91-10
NM-03
91-10
MD-06
92-10
AL-07
91-8
NV-04
93-10
MS-02
93-10
NJ-05
93-10
NY-22
93-10
CA-13
92-8
MD-02
92-8
CA-08
91-6
CA-35
97-12
KS-03
91-6
PA-17
92-6
UT-01
93-7
NY-18
93-7
TX-07
93-7
PA-05
93-7
IL-11
93-7
CA-27
94-7
WA-08
93-6
CA-28
90-4
OR-01
91-4
NH-02
95-8
MD-05
92-5
NY-08
91-4
PA-12
92-5
WA-09
94-6
LA-02
92-4
MA-04
92-4
MN-05
92-4
CA-39
92-5
CA-36
93-5
MA-06
94-6
MI-06
92-4
DE-01
91-3
PA-04
94-6
SC-06
92-4
NY-16
91-3
CA-03
93-5
IL-14
94-6
NY-09
92-4
GA-06
92-4
OH-11
95-6
KY-03
94-6
MD-04
92-3
CO-01
94-6
CA-38
94-5
IL-13
96-7
NJ-12
96-7
NY-05
93-4
NY-20
95-6
CO-02
93-4
MN-04
94-5
CA-09
93-3
IN-07
94-4
TX-29
94-4
MN-03
91-1
CA-15
95-5
CA-30
95-5
IL-09
95-5
MO-01
94-4
NM-01
95-5
PA-06
91-1
CA-33
94-3
VA-10
95-5
CA-16
94-4
CT-04
95-5
FL-10
95-5
CA-41
94-3
AZ-07
95-5
MI-11
96-5
NC-02
97-6
MA-03
93-2
CO-07
97-6
IL-04
95-4
OR-04
97-6
VA-07
96-5
CT-02
96-5
CT-01
94-3
CA-50
95-4
NJ-06
93-2
IL-08
96-4
CA-47
94-3
CO-06
96-5
GA-13
96-4
RI-02
96-4
AZ-03
93-1
FL-20
96-4
MA-09
96-4
NY-25
96-4
IL-06
93-1
HI-02
97-5
MD-07
96-4
CA-18
96-4
NJ-01
95-2
CA-49
94-1
MI-12
98-5
GA-02
96-4
CA-32
96-3
VA-03
95-2
VA-08
97-4
WA-06
97-4
WI-02
95-2
MD-03
98-5
CA-19
97-3
NY-26
98-5
RI-01
97-4
CA-31
96-3
MA-08
97-4
CA-24
97-3
NJ-11
97-4
CA-06
94-1
MA-05
97-3
TX-16
98-4
CA-10
96-2
CA-42
97-4
MD-08
97-3
CA-01
97-3
NY-15
97-3
GA-04
98-5
CA-43
97-3
HI-01
97-3
IL-03
97-3
IL-05
97-3
NJ-10
98-4
OR-06
97-3
WA-07
98-4
MI-13
98-4
NC-12
95-1
TX-37
97-3
CA-51
97-3
IL-10
97-3
NY-06
98-4
CA-02
96-1
NJ-08
96-2
CA-17
99-4
CT-03
96-2
FL-24
98-3
ME-01
98-3
OH-03
99-4
IL-02
99-4
NY-13
98-3
NC-04
99-4
NY-10
99-4
WA-02
99-4
TX-30
97-2
NY-12
99-4
WA-10
98-2
VT-01
99-3
OR-03
99-3
PA-02
99-3
TX-33
99-3
VA-11
99-2
WI-04
98-2
CA-44
97-1
IL-07
97-0
MA-02
97-0
VA-04
97-1
TX-18
99-2
NY-07
98-1
GA-05
99-1
MA-01
99-2
NY-14
99-1
MA-07
99-0
PA-03
99-0
Likely D (30)
PA-10
75-27
IA-01
77-28
AZ-01
76-25
WA-03
75-22
NJ-07
77-23
CA-22
79-23
VA-02
80-23
NE-02
77-19
AZ-06
80-20
TX-28
83-22
CO-08
81-17
NY-04
85-20
CA-48
81-12
NY-03
85-16
IN-01
87-16
NH-01
88-16
NY-19
87-15
NV-03
87-14
CT-05
78-4
CA-52
79-5
CA-45
89-12
OH-01
88-11
CA-46
87-9
OR-05
89-11
FL-23
88-10
MI-08
88-10
NV-01
89-9
IL-17
89-7
WA-01
86-3
IL-01
89-6
Lean D (10)
PA-08
64-43
FL-25
61-39
MI-10
63-40
OH-09
66-33
IA-03
70-30
PA-07
70-29
WI-03
72-30
NY-17
73-29
MI-07
74-28
TX-34
70-22
Tossup (7)
NC-11
53-49
FL-14
53-48
VA-01
47-53
NC-01
50-43
TX-15
44-55
IA-02
41-57
TX-35
41-57
Lean R (16)
PA-01
40-60
AZ-02
38-65
MT-01
39-67
ME-02
38-67
MI-04
35-65
FL-22
34-66
OH-07
32-66
WI-01
34-68
CO-03
33-68
CO-04
31-70
FL-09
30-70
AL-02
29-71
MN-01
27-69
KY-06
28-72
FL-07
27-73
NY-01
27-73
Likely R (68)
OH-15
27-76
TX-23
26-75
SC-01
26-76
CO-05
26-78
VA-05
24-78
FL-27
21-77
MO-05
23-80
FL-16
21-80
FL-13
22-82
OH-10
19-79
TX-09
20-81
NC-09
18-80
NV-02
18-81
NJ-02
17-80
TX-32
18-81
FL-04
18-83
MN-08
19-84
MO-02
18-83
NY-02
17-82
TN-05
17-82
WA-05
19-84
AZ-08
16-82
NC-07
15-81
WI-08
17-83
GA-12
16-83
TN-09
17-84
TX-24
14-81
NC-14
15-84
TX-12
12-83
NE-01
9-81
CA-05
15-87
GA-01
14-86
FL-12
14-87
IN-05
14-87
NY-21
11-84
TX-21
13-86
FL-03
12-86
FL-15
14-88
FL-21
13-87
FL-26
12-86
NC-06
11-85
SC-02
13-87
FL-17
12-87
TX-38
13-88
WI-07
12-87
AZ-05
13-89
GA-11
11-87
KS-02
10-86
NY-23
12-88
OH-05
11-87
PA-16
13-89
AK-01
10-86
AL-05
10-86
AR-02
11-88
TX-14
11-88
WA-04
11-88
WI-06
11-88
TX-27
10-87
FL-05
11-89
FL-08
11-89
NC-08
11-89
NC-13
11-89
OH-08
11-89
TX-26
11-89
MD-01
10-88
TX-05
9-88
SC-04
10-89
FL-28
9-89
Safe R (119)
AR-03
20-96
OK-05
13-90
NY-24
12-90
TX-10
12-90
TX-17
12-90
MN-06
12-90
LA-06
12-91
FL-18
11-90
FL-11
14-94
NY-11
10-90
OH-14
10-90
VA-06
10-90
MI-01
9-90
OK-01
9-90
MO-04
10-91
WI-05
11-92
TX-22
10-91
TN-08
11-92
IN-02
9-91
FL-19
8-90
FL-02
9-91
UT-02
8-90
OH-12
10-92
NC-03
9-91
TN-07
11-93
FL-01
10-92
TX-04
11-93
OH-04
10-92
TX-25
10-92
CA-23
9-92
TX-31
9-91
IL-16
8-91
NC-10
8-92
IN-04
9-93
TX-02
8-92
LA-05
10-93
LA-04
10-93
PA-11
8-92
TX-36
8-92
GA-08
9-93
IN-09
7-91
MI-05
10-94
OH-06
7-90
ID-02
10-94
IL-12
7-92
PA-09
10-94
TX-06
6-91
TX-11
9-94
GA-07
9-94
LA-01
9-95
NC-05
7-93
TN-04
7-93
SC-07
7-93
AZ-09
9-95
KY-04
7-93
SC-05
7-93
TX-03
7-93
WV-01
7-93
MN-07
8-95
IA-04
9-96
SD-01
5-92
GA-10
7-93
PA-15
7-94
GA-03
6-93
ND-01
7-94
CA-20
5-92
KS-01
6-94
MI-09
7-94
KS-04
7-95
GA-14
8-96
MO-03
6-94
TN-02
5-93
TX-13
5-93
UT-03
5-93
KY-01
6-94
UT-04
7-96
MT-02
6-94
OK-04
4-93
FL-06
6-95
KY-02
6-95
OH-02
3-92
IN-08
5-94
AL-01
3-93
TN-03
4-94
IL-15
5-95
IN-03
4-94
VA-09
7-97
MS-01
4-94
AL-06
5-96
IN-06
5-96
PA-13
5-96
TX-08
5-95
AL-04
6-97
NJ-04
5-95
TX-01
4-95
GA-09
4-96
AR-04
4-96
WV-02
4-96
NE-03
7-99
AL-03
3-96
MO-06
6-98
ID-01
4-97
PA-14
5-98
MI-02
2-95
OR-02
4-97
OK-03
5-98
TN-06
5-98
TX-19
2-95
MS-04
3-96
SC-03
5-98
MO-07
5-98
OK-02
4-98
KY-05
4-98
MS-03
2-96
WY-01
2-96
LA-03
5-99
AR-01
3-97
MO-08
3-98
TN-01
3-99